Rating
51
Above average — top 35% · Glicko-2 1425 ±75
Record
15-0-44
25.4% of 59 matches in the last five years
Average margin
-11.0
19.9 for, 30.9 against
Home advantage
+0.7
Points per match better at home
Attack
-22%
19.9 scored per match, against the placed field's average
Defence
-11%
30.9 conceded per match; positive is fewer than average
- Head coach
- Steve Tandy
- Captain
- Dewi Lake
- Union
- Welsh Rugby Union
- Emblem
- Three feathers
- Home ground
- Principality Stadium
- First match
- England 8–0 Wales (Blackheath, England; 19 February 1881)
- Most caps
- Alun Wyn Jones (158)
- Leading scorer
- Neil Jenkins (1,049)
- Most tries
- Shane Williams (58)
- World Cups
- 10, from 1987
- Best World Cup
- Third place (1987)
From Wikipedia, read 2026-08-20. Not an input to any forecast — the rating does not know who is coaching.
South Africa2026-07-18 · away0–43lost
Argentina2026-07-11 · away21–35lost
Fiji2026-07-04 · away39–24won
Italy2026-03-14 · home31–17won
Ireland2026-03-06 · away17–27lost
Newest first, from Wales's own point of view. Home and away are as the record stores them; a fixture the record does not mark neutral is listed as one side's home, which is right for a league round and wrong for a final played at a third ground.
Biggest win: 40-6 v Australia
Heaviest defeat: 0-73 v South Africa
Above average — top 35%
Box is the middle half of the ranked field, line is the median, dot is Wales. The scale is this domain's own and does not compare across the two.
Teams that play alike sit close together. The two axes hold 67% of the variation between teams. Component 1 (45%) rises with more average margin, less points conceded. Component 2 (22%) rises with more high-scoring matches and margin swing.
9 of 45 teams sit too close together to name without covering another team's point, so they are drawn unlabelled. Every dot is still a link to that team, and its name is in the tooltip.
Distance in the projection above, nearest first.