Wales v Italy
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
23 – 19
5 September 2015Principality Stadium, Cardiff
What the model says about Wales v Italy
Conditions
- Kick-off
- 16:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 9 m
- Temperature
- 13.6 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 17 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
The ground from above
What happened in the phases
Possession and territory
| Wales | Measure | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 44.0% | Possession | 56.0% |
| 48.0% | Territory | 52.0% |
Attack
| Wales | Measure | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 369m | Carry metres | 301m |
| 11 | Defenders beaten | 15 |
| 3 | Offloads | 3 |
| 114 | Passes | 122 |
Defence
| Wales | Measure | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 117 | Tackles made | 97 |
| 15 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 11 |
| 8 | Turnovers won | 6 |
Set pieces
| Wales | Measure | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 92.3% | Lineout success | 90.9% |
| 12 | Lineouts won | 10 |
| 4 | Scrums won | 8 |
Breakdown
| Wales | Measure | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 71 | Rucks won | 79 |
| 1 | Mauls won | 4 |
Kicking
| Wales | Measure | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 402m | Kick metres | 477m |
Discipline
| Wales | Measure | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 13 |
| 18 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 12 |
Scoring
| Wales | Measure | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tries | 2 |
| 6 | Penalty goals | 2 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.