Fiji v New Zealand
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
5 – 47
20 July 2024Snapdragon Stadium , San Diego · neutral venue
What the model says about Fiji v New Zealand
- Kick-off
- 02:30 UTC
- Elevation
- 21 m
- Temperature
- 22.3 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 19 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 17 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Fiji
- 1Eroni Mawi
- 2Tevita Ikanivere
- 3Mesake Doge
- 4Isoa Nasilasila
- 5Temo Mayanavanua
- 6Lekima Tagitagivalu
- 7Kitione Salawa
- 8Viliame Mata
- 9Frank Lomani
- 10Isaiah Armstrong-Ravula
- 11Semi Radradra
- 12Inia Tabuavou
- 13Waisea Nayacalevu
- 14Jiuta Wainiqolo
- 15Vilimoni Botitu
Replacements
New Zealand
- 1Tamaiti Williams+6.5
- 2Asafo Aumua-2.6
- 3Fletcher Newell-6.9
- 4Scott Barrett+2.6
- 5Tupou Vaa'i-5.8
- 6Luke Jacobson+2.4
- 7Ethan Blackadder
- 8Ardie Savea-6.0
- 9Cortez Ratima+0.5
- 10Damian McKenzie+0.5
- 11Caleb Clarke+9.0
- 12Anton Lienert-Brown+2.0
- 13Billy Proctor
- 14Sevu Reece-4.1
- 15Beauden Barrett-1.1
Replacements
- 16George Bell
- 17Ethan de Groot-10.5
- 18Pasilio Tosi+8.7
- 19Sam Darry
- 20Wallace Sititi-6.7
- 21Noah Hotham
- 22Jordie Barrett+6.6
- 23Emoni Narawa
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Scoring
| Fiji | Measure | New Zealand |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tries | 7 |
| — | Conversions | 6 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.