Ireland v USA
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
53 – 8
2 October 1999Aviva Stadium, Dublin
What the model says about Ireland v USA
- Kick-off
- 17:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 0 m
- Temperature
- 9.7 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.3 mm
- Wind
- 33 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 5 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Ireland
- 1Peter Clohessy
- 2Keith Wood+3.6
- 3Paul Wallace
- 4Paddy Johns
- 5Jeremy Davidson
- 6Trevor Brennan
- 7Andy Ward
- 8Dion O'Cuinneagain(c)
- 9Tom Tierney
- 10David Humphreys
- 11Matt Mostyn
- 12Kevin Maggs
- 13Brian O'Driscoll-0.9
- 14Justin Bishop
- 15Conor O'Shea
Replacements
- 16Jonathan Bell
- 17Eric Elwood
- 18Brian O'Meara
- 19Eric Miller-2.2
- 20Malcolm O'Kelly-2.5
- 21Justin Fitzpatrick-4.2
- 22Ross Nesdale
USA
- 1George Sucher
- 2Tom Billups
- 3Ray Lehner
- 4Luke Gross
- 5Alec Parker
- 6Dave Hodges
- 7Richard Tardits
- 8Dan Lyle(c)
- 9Kevin Dalzell
- 10Mark Williams
- 11Brian Hightower
- 12Tomasi Takau
- 13Juan Grobler
- 14Vaea Anitoni
- 15Kurt Shuman
Replacements
- 16Mark Scharrenberg
- 17David Niumataiwalu
- 18Jesse Coulson
- 19Tasi Mo'unga
- 20Shaun Paga
- 21Joe Clayton
- 22Kirk Khasigian
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.