England v Fiji
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
45 – 24
20 October 1999Allianz Stadium, London
What the model says about England v Fiji
- Kick-off
- 11:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 7 m
- Temperature
- 8.4 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.6 mm
- Wind
- 25 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 8 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
England
- 1Jason Leonard
- 2Phil Greening
- 3Darren Garforth
- 4Martin Johnson(c)+2.1
- 5Garath Archer
- 6Joe Worsley+4.0
- 7Neil Back
- 8Lawrence Dallaglio+8.7
- 9Austin Healey
- 10Jonny Wilkinson+7.0
- 11Dan Luger-5.9
- 12Mike Catt+2.3
- 13Will Greenwood
- 14Nick Beal
- 15Matt Perry
Replacements
- 16Phil de Glanville
- 17Paul Grayson+7.3
- 18Matt Dawson
- 19Richard Hill
- 20Tim Rodber
- 21Graham Rowntree+1.5
- 22Richard Cockerill
Fiji
- 1Dan Rouse
- 2Greg Smith(c)
- 3Joeli Veitayaki
- 4Simon Raiwalui
- 5Emori Katalau
- 6Koli Sewabu
- 7Seta Tawake Naivaluwaqa
- 8Ifereimi Tawake
- 9Moses Rauluni
- 10Waisale Serevi
- 11Manu Tikomaimakogai
- 12Meli Nakauta
- 13Viliame Satala
- 14Marika Vunibaka
- 15Alfie Uluinayau
Replacements
- 16Jacob Rauluni
- 17Nicky Little
- 18Waisake Sotutu
- 19Inoke Male Loco
- 20Alifereti Doviverata
- 21Epeli Naituivau
- 22Isaia Rasila
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.