South Africa v Uruguay
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
72 – 6
11 October 2003Patersons Stadium, Perth (WA) · neutral venue
What the model says about South Africa v Uruguay
- Kick-off
- 12:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 33 m
- Temperature
- 17.0 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 20 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 8 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
South Africa
- 1Lawrence Sephaka
- 2Danie Coetzee
- 3Richard Bands
- 4Bakkies Botha+8.0
- 5Victor Matfield-1.4
- 6Joe van Niekerk+1.8
- 7Danie Rossouw+0.7
- 8Juan Smith+0.6
- 9Joost van der Westhuizen(c)
- 10Louis Koen
- 11Thinus Delport
- 12De Wet Barry+0.2
- 13Jaque Fourie+6.3
- 14Ashwin Willemse
- 15Werner Greeff
Replacements
- 16John Smit+6.0
- 17Faan Rautenbach
- 18Selborne Boome
- 19Hendro Scholtz
- 20Neil de Kock
- 21Derick Hougaard
- 22Ricardo Loubscher
Uruguay
- 1Rodrigo Sanchez
- 2Diego Lamelas
- 3Pablo Lemoine
- 4Juan Carlos Bado
- 5Juan Alzueta
- 6Nicolas Brignoni
- 7Marcelo Gutierrez
- 8Rodrigo Capo Ortega
- 9Emiliano Caffera
- 10Sebastian Aguirre
- 11Emiliano Ibarra
- 12Martin Mendaro
- 13Diego Aguirre
- 14Alfonso Cardoso
- 15Joaquin Pastore
Replacements
- 16Juan Andres Perez
- 17Eduardo Berruti
- 18Guillermo Storace
- 19Nicolas Grille
- 20Hernan Ponte
- 21Bernardo Amarillo
- 22Juan Menchaca
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| South Africa | Measure | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | Possession | — |
Attack
| South Africa | Measure | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|
| 687m | Carry metres | 184m |
| 23 | Clean breaks | 1 |
| 51 | Defenders beaten | 14 |
| 30 | Offloads | 3 |
| 163 | Passes | 59 |
Defence
| South Africa | Measure | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|
| 69 | Tackles made | 97 |
| 83.0% | Tackle success | 66.0% |
| 14 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 51 |
| 8 | Turnovers won | 6 |
Set pieces
| South Africa | Measure | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|
| 95.0% | Lineout success | 66.7% |
| 19 | Lineouts won | 8 |
| 12 | Scrums won | 9 |
Breakdown
| South Africa | Measure | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|
| 55 | Rucks won | 50 |
| 5 | Mauls won | 12 |
Kicking
| South Africa | Measure | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kicks from hand | 22 |
| 858m | Kick metres | 569m |
Discipline
| South Africa | Measure | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 14 |
| 13 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 14 |
Scoring
| South Africa | Measure | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tries | — |
| 6 | Conversions | — |
| — | Penalty goals | 2 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.