Ireland v Namibia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
64 – 7
19 October 2003Allianz Stadium, Sydney · neutral venue
What the model says about Ireland v Namibia
- Kick-off
- 10:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 38 m
- Temperature
- 19.4 °C
- Rainfall
- 10.9 mm
- Wind
- 17 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 12 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Ireland
- 1Marcus Horan
- 2Keith Wood(c)+3.6
- 3John Hayes
- 4Malcolm O'Kelly-2.5
- 5Paul O'Connell-2.4
- 6Simon Easterby-7.8
- 7Alan Quinlan
- 8Eric Miller-2.2
- 9Peter Stringer+11.4
- 10Ronan O'Gara
- 11Denis Hickie+3.0
- 12Kevin Maggs
- 13Brian O'Driscoll-0.9
- 14Shane Horgan+5.3
- 15Girvan Dempsey+0.1
Replacements
Namibia
- 1Kees Lensing
- 2JM Meyer
- 3Niel du Toit
- 4Heino Senekal
- 5Archie Graham
- 6Schalk van der Merwe
- 7Wolfie Duvenhage
- 8Sean Furter(c)
- 9Hakkies Husselman
- 10Emile Wessels
- 11Vincent Dreyer
- 12Corne Powell
- 13Du Preez Grobler
- 14Deon Mouton
- 15Ronaldo Pedro
Replacements
- 16Cor van Tonder
- 17Andries Blaauw
- 18Herman Lintvelt
- 19Jurgens van Lill
- 20Niel Swanepoel
- 21Melrick Africa
- 22Mot Schreuder
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Ireland | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 91.0% | Possession | 9.0% |
Attack
| Ireland | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 567m | Carry metres | 204m |
| 17 | Clean breaks | 3 |
| 33 | Defenders beaten | 6 |
| 6 | Offloads | 3 |
| 134 | Passes | 48 |
Defence
| Ireland | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 49 | Tackles made | 107 |
| 89.0% | Tackle success | 76.0% |
| 6 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 33 |
| 6 | Turnovers won | 14 |
Set pieces
| Ireland | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 94.4% | Lineout success | 33.3% |
| 17 | Lineouts won | 6 |
| 11 | Scrums won | 13 |
Breakdown
| Ireland | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 70 | Rucks won | 33 |
| 14 | Mauls won | 4 |
Kicking
| Ireland | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kicks from hand | 29 |
| 1077m | Kick metres | 715m |
Discipline
| Ireland | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 12 |
| — | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| 18 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 10 |
Scoring
| Ireland | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tries | 1 |
| 7 | Conversions | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.