South Africa v Georgia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
46 – 19
24 October 2003Allianz Stadium, Sydney · neutral venue
What the model says about South Africa v Georgia
- Kick-off
- 10:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 38 m
- Temperature
- 18.2 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.2 mm
- Wind
- 21 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 9 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
South Africa
- 1Lawrence Sephaka
- 2John Smit(c)+6.0
- 3Faan Rautenbach
- 4Bakkies Botha+8.0
- 5Selborne Boome
- 6Hendro Scholtz
- 7Danie Rossouw+0.7
- 8Joe van Niekerk+1.8
- 9Neil de Kock
- 10Derick Hougaard
- 11Breyton Paulse-2.6
- 12Werner Greeff
- 13Jaque Fourie+6.3
- 14Stefan Terblanche-3.6
- 15Ricardo Loubscher
Replacements
- 16Dale Santon
- 17Christo Bezuidenhout
- 18Victor Matfield-1.4
- 19Schalk Burger+6.0
- 20Joost van der Westhuizen
- 21Louis Koen
- 22Jorrie Muller
Georgia
- 1Avto Kopaliani
- 2Davit Dadunashvili
- 3Aleko Margvelashvili
- 4Sergo Gujaraidze
- 5Victor Didebulidze
- 6Davit Bolghashvili
- 7Giorgi Tsiklauri
- 8Giorgi Chkhaidze
- 9Irakli Modebadze
- 10Paliko Jimsheladze
- 11Archil Kavtarahvili
- 12Vasil Katsadze(c)
- 13Otar Eloshvili
- 14Gocha Khonelidze
- 15Irakli Machkhaneli
Replacements
- 16Akvsenti Giorgadze
- 17Soso Nikolaenko
- 18Ilia Zedginidze
- 19Gregoire Yachvili
- 20Irakli Abuseridze
- 21Merab Kvirikashvili
- 22Beso Khamashuridze
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| South Africa | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 88.0% | Possession | 12.0% |
Attack
| South Africa | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 528m | Carry metres | 255m |
| 11 | Clean breaks | 2 |
| 29 | Defenders beaten | 6 |
| 5 | Offloads | 5 |
| 163 | Passes | 83 |
Defence
| South Africa | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 63 | Tackles made | 93 |
| 91.0% | Tackle success | 76.0% |
| 6 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 29 |
| 7 | Turnovers won | 6 |
Set pieces
| South Africa | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 93.3% | Lineout success | 72.7% |
| 14 | Lineouts won | 16 |
| 19 | Scrums won | 11 |
Breakdown
| South Africa | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | Rucks won | 42 |
| 7 | Mauls won | 8 |
Kicking
| South Africa | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kicks from hand | 13 |
| 671m | Kick metres | 517m |
Discipline
| South Africa | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| 20 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 18 |
Scoring
| South Africa | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tries | 1 |
| 4 | Conversions | 1 |
| 1 | Penalty goals | 4 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.