Ireland v Namibia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
32 – 17
9 September 2007Stade Chaban-Delmas, Bordeaux · neutral venue
What the model says about Ireland v Namibia
- Kick-off
- 18:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 13 m
- Temperature
- 19.9 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 16 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 14 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Ireland
- 1Marcus Horan
- 2Rory Best
- 3John Hayes
- 4Donncha O'Callaghan
- 5Paul O'Connell-2.4
- 6Simon Easterby-7.8
- 7David Wallace-1.6
- 8Denis Leamy+5.0
- 9Peter Stringer+11.4
- 10Ronan O'Gara
- 11Denis Hickie+3.0
- 12Gordon D'Arcy-0.8
- 13Brian O'Driscoll(c)-0.9
- 14Andrew Trimble+3.5
- 15Girvan Dempsey+0.1
Replacements
- 16Jerry Flannery+3.4
- 17Simon Best+5.9
- 18Malcolm O'Kelly-2.5
- 19Neil Best
- 20Isaac Boss
- 21Paddy Wallace
- 22Geordan Murphy-2.5
Namibia
- 1Kees Lensing(c)
- 2Hugo Horn
- 3Jane du Toit
- 4Wacca Kazombiaze
- 5Nico Esterhuyse
- 6Jacques Nieuwenhuis
- 7Heino Senekal
- 8Jacques Burger
- 9Eugene Jantjies
- 10Emile Wessels
- 11Heini Bock
- 12Piet van Zyl
- 13Bradley Langenhoven
- 14Ryan Witbooi
- 15TC Losper
Replacements
- 16JM Meyer
- 17Johnny Redelinghuys
- 18Michael MacKenzie
- 19Tinus du Plessis
- 20Jurie van Tonder
- 21Lu-Wayne Botes
- 22Melrick Africa
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Ireland | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 52.0% | Possession | 48.0% |
| 54.0% | Territory | 46.0% |
Attack
| Ireland | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 465m | Carry metres | 215m |
| 19 | Defenders beaten | 1 |
| 8 | Offloads | 2 |
| 118 | Passes | 55 |
Defence
| Ireland | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 54 | Tackles made | 76 |
| 2 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 19 |
| 5 | Turnovers won | 5 |
Set pieces
| Ireland | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 84.2% | Lineout success | 80.0% |
| 16 | Lineouts won | 8 |
| 9 | Scrums won | 12 |
Breakdown
| Ireland | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 58 | Rucks won | 47 |
| 5 | Mauls won | 4 |
Discipline
| Ireland | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 6 |
| 12 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 5 |
Scoring
| Ireland | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tries | 2 |
| 2 | Conversions | 2 |
| 1 | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.