Ireland v Georgia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
14 – 10
15 September 2007Stade Chaban-Delmas, Bordeaux · neutral venue
What the model says about Ireland v Georgia
- Kick-off
- 19:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 13 m
- Temperature
- 20.8 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 9 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 14 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Ireland
- 1Marcus Horan
- 2Rory Best
- 3John Hayes
- 4Donncha O'Callaghan
- 5Paul O'Connell-2.4
- 6Simon Easterby-7.8
- 7David Wallace-1.6
- 8Denis Leamy+5.0
- 9Peter Stringer+11.4
- 10Ronan O'Gara
- 11Denis Hickie+3.0
- 12Gordon D'Arcy-0.8
- 13Brian O'Driscoll(c)-0.9
- 14Shane Horgan+5.3
- 15Girvan Dempsey+0.1
Replacements
- 16Jerry Flannery+3.4
- 17Simon Best+5.9
- 18Malcolm O'Kelly-2.5
- 19Neil Best
- 20Isaac Boss
- 21Paddy Wallace
- 22Geordan Murphy-2.5
Georgia
- 1Mamuka Magrakvelidze
- 2Goderdzi Shvelidze
- 3Avto Kopaliani
- 4Ilia Zedginidze
- 5Mamuka Gorgodze
- 6Ilia Maisuradze
- 7Rati Urushadze
- 8Giorgi Chkhaidze
- 9Bidzina Samkharadze
- 10Merab Kvirikashvili
- 11Giorgi Elizbarashvili
- 12Davit Kacharava
- 13Malkhaz Urjukashvili
- 14Giorgi Shkinin
- 15Otar Barkalaia
Replacements
- 16Akvsenti Giorgadze
- 17Davit Khinchagashvili
- 18Levan Datunashvili
- 19Zviad Maisuradze
- 20Irakli Abuseridze
- 21Irakli Machkhaneli
- 22Otar Eloshvili
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Ireland | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 47.0% | Possession | 53.0% |
| 46.0% | Territory | 54.0% |
Attack
| Ireland | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 454m | Carry metres | 401m |
| 11 | Defenders beaten | 1 |
| 9 | Offloads | 1 |
| 108 | Passes | 87 |
Defence
| Ireland | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 116 | Tackles made | 79 |
| 1 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 11 |
| 1 | Turnovers won | 5 |
Set pieces
| Ireland | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 92.3% | Lineout success | 72.7% |
| 12 | Lineouts won | 16 |
| 10 | Scrums won | 8 |
Breakdown
| Ireland | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 62 | Rucks won | 99 |
| 4 | Mauls won | 5 |
Discipline
| Ireland | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | — |
| 7 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 5 |
Scoring
| Ireland | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tries | 1 |
| 2 | Conversions | 1 |
| — | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.