Tonga v Canada
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
Semenoff Stadium, Whangarei · neutral venue
What the model says about Tonga v Canada
Conditions
- Kick-off
- 05:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 8 m
- Temperature
- 13.2 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.2 mm
- Wind
- 43 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
The ground from above
Matchday squads
Tonga
- 1Sona Taumalolo
- 2Ephraim Taukafa
- 3Kisi Pulu
- 4Sione Timani
- 5Lua Lokotui
- 6Finau Maka(c)
- 7Sione Vaiomounga
- 8Samiu Vahafolau
- 9Tomasi Palu
- 10Taniela Moa
- 11William Helu
- 12'Alipate Fatafehi
- 13Siale Piutau
- 14Fetu'u Vainikolo
- 15Kurt Morath
Replacements
- 16Ilaisa Ma'asi
- 17Soane Tonga'uiha
- 18Halani 'Aulika
- 19Viliami Ma'afu
- 20Sione Kalamafoni
- 21Viliami Iongi
- 22Alaska Taufa
Canada
- 1Hubert Buydens
- 2Pat Riordan(c)
- 3Jason Marshall
- 4Jebb Sinclair
- 5Jamie Cudmore
- 6Adam Kleeberger
- 7Chauncey O'Toole
- 8Aaron Carpenter
- 9Ed Fairhurst
- 10Ander Monro
- 11Phil MacKenzie
- 12Ryan Smith
- 13DTH Van Der Merwe
- 14Ciaran Hearn
- 15James Pritchard
Replacements
- 16Ryan Hamilton
- 17Scott Franklin
- 18Tyler Hotson
- 19Nanyak Dala
- 20Conor Trainor
- 21Sean White
- 22Nathan Hirayama
What happened in the phases
Possession and territory
| Tonga | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 59.0% | Possession | 41.0% |
| 65.0% | Territory | 35.0% |
Attack
| Tonga | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 413m | Carry metres | 338m |
| 10 | Defenders beaten | 20 |
| 124 | Passes | 93 |
Defence
| Tonga | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 68 | Tackles made | 122 |
| 20 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 10 |
Set pieces
| Tonga | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 90.9% | Lineout success | 88.9% |
| 10 | Lineouts won | 8 |
| 41 | Scrums won | 39 |
Breakdown
| Tonga | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 82 | Rucks won | 54 |
| 4 | Mauls won | 4 |
Discipline
| Tonga | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 11 |
| 6 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 7 |
Scoring
| Tonga | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tries | 3 |
| 2 | Conversions | 2 |
| 2 | Penalty goals | 2 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.