USA v Tonga
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Osaka
What the model says about USA v Tonga
Conditions
- Kick-off
- 05:45 UTC
- Elevation
- 9 m
- Temperature
- 17.4 °C
- Rainfall
- 3.3 mm
- Wind
- 21 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
The ground from above
Matchday squads
USA
- 1Eric Fry
- 2Joe Taufete'e
- 3Titi Lamositele
- 4Greg Peterson
- 5Nick Civetta
- 6Tony Lamborn
- 7Malon Al-Jiboori
- 8Cam Dolan
- 9Ruben de Haas
- 10AJ MacGinty
- 11Marcel Brache
- 12Paul Lasike
- 13Bryce Campbell
- 14Blaine Scully(c)
- 15Will Hooley
Replacements
- 16James Hilterbrand
- 17Olive Kilifi
- 18Paul Mullen
- 19Ben Landry
- 20Hanco Germishuys
- 21Ben Pinkelman
- 22Nate Augspurger
- 23Mike Te'o
Tonga
- 1Siegfried Fisiʻihoi
- 2Paula Ngauamo
- 3Siua Halanukonuka
- 4Sam Lousi
- 5Leva Fifita
- 6Sione Kalamafoni
- 7Zane Kapeli
- 8Maama Vaipulu
- 9Sonatane Takulua
- 10James Faiva
- 11Viliami Lolohea
- 12Siale Piutau(c)
- 13Malietoa Hingano
- 14Atieli Pakalani
- 15Telusa Veainu
Replacements
What happened in the phases
Possession and territory
| USA | Measure | Tonga |
|---|---|---|
| 48.0% | Possession | 52.0% |
| 47.0% | Territory | 53.0% |
Attack
| USA | Measure | Tonga |
|---|---|---|
| 374m | Carry metres | 672m |
| 7 | Clean breaks | 15 |
| 20 | Defenders beaten | 43 |
| 7 | Offloads | 16 |
| 167 | Passes | 171 |
Defence
| USA | Measure | Tonga |
|---|---|---|
| 151 | Tackles made | 148 |
| 78.0% | Tackle success | 88.0% |
| 43 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 20 |
| 11 | Turnovers won | 9 |
Set pieces
| USA | Measure | Tonga |
|---|---|---|
| 88.2% | Lineout success | 92.3% |
| 15 | Lineouts won | 12 |
| 6 | Scrums won | 8 |
Breakdown
| USA | Measure | Tonga |
|---|---|---|
| 88 | Rucks won | 89 |
| 5 | Mauls won | 4 |
Kicking
| USA | Measure | Tonga |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kicks from hand | 26 |
| 1029m | Kick metres | 743m |
Discipline
| USA | Measure | Tonga |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 3 |
| 7 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 11 |
Scoring
| USA | Measure | Tonga |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tries | 4 |
| 2 | Conversions | 4 |
| — | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.