Super Rugby Pacific 2027
Official site80 pool fixtures · 5,000 simulations · knockout ties are on the overview, in the bracket
Round 1
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.
Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Brumbies by 18 · median Brumbies by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 35-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 2 to Crusaders by 20 · median Crusaders by 9
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 9 is 26-17 as readily as 37-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 12 to Blues by 5 · median Hurricanes by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 2 is 22-20 as readily as 34-32.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Highlanders by 6 to Fijian Drua by 11 · median Fijian Drua by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Fijian Drua by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 11 to Western Force by 6 · median Chiefs by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 2 is 22-20 as readily as 33-31.
Round 2
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 5 to Crusaders by 11 · median Crusaders by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 5 to Western Force by 10 · median Western Force by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Western Force by 3 is 22-19 as readily as 33-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 7 to Highlanders by 10 · median Highlanders by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Highlanders by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 33-32.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Fijian Drua by 1 to New South Wales Waratahs by 15 · median New South Wales Waratahs by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a New South Wales Waratahs by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 34-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 11 to Queensland Reds by 5 · median Chiefs by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 2 is 22-20 as readily as 33-31.
Round 3
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 3 to Hurricanes by 24 · median Hurricanes by 12
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 79 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 12 is 28-16 as readily as 39-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 1 to Brumbies by 18 · median Brumbies by 8
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 8 is 25-17 as readily as 36-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 2 to Chiefs by 21 · median Chiefs by 9
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 9 is 26-17 as readily as 37-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Queensland Reds by 7 to Fijian Drua by 9 · median Fijian Drua by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Fijian Drua by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 10 to Blues by 6 · median Crusaders by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.
Round 4
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Western Force by 6 to Highlanders by 11 · median Highlanders by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Highlanders by 2 is 22-20 as readily as 33-31.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 18 to a draw · median Hurricanes by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 80 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 7 is 25-18 as readily as 37-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Queensland Reds by 4 to Blues by 12 · median Blues by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Blues by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 34-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 1 to Brumbies by 19 · median Brumbies by 9
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 9 is 26-17 as readily as 37-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 4 to Crusaders by 13 · median Crusaders by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.
Round 5
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 4 to Crusaders by 23 · median Crusaders by 11
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 79 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 11 is 27-16 as readily as 39-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Queensland Reds by 2 to Western Force by 13 · median Western Force by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Western Force by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 33-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 1 to Chiefs by 25 · median Chiefs by 11
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 11 is 26-15 as readily as 37-26.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 5 to Hurricanes by 25 · median Hurricanes by 14
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 81 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 14 is 29-15 as readily as 41-27.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 8 to New South Wales Waratahs by 8 · median a draw
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 21-21 as readily as 32-32.
Round 6
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 1 to Brumbies by 17 · median Brumbies by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 35-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.
Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Hurricanes by 17 · median Hurricanes by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 35-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 9 to Fijian Drua by 7 · median Blues by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Blues by 1 is 22-21 as readily as 33-32.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 12 to Highlanders by 3 · median Chiefs by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 79 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 4 is 24-20 as readily as 35-31.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.
Middle half of outcomes: New South Wales Waratahs by 2 to Queensland Reds by 17 · median Queensland Reds by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Queensland Reds by 6 is 24-18 as readily as 35-29.
Round 7
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 1 to Crusaders by 22 · median Crusaders by 10
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 10 is 26-16 as readily as 37-27.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 7 to Highlanders by 9 · median Highlanders by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Highlanders by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 33-32.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.
Middle half of outcomes: New South Wales Waratahs by 1 to Western Force by 16 · median Western Force by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Western Force by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 34-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 7 to Chiefs by 9 · median Chiefs by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Queensland Reds by 1 to Queensland Reds by 20 · median Queensland Reds by 8
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Queensland Reds by 8 is 25-17 as readily as 37-29.
Round 8
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 2 to Crusaders by 20 · median Crusaders by 10
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 10 is 25-15 as readily as 37-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.
Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Blues by 17 · median Blues by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Blues by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 36-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 2 to Chiefs by 23 · median Chiefs by 10
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 10 is 26-16 as readily as 37-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Fijian Drua by 1 to Highlanders by 16 · median Highlanders by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Highlanders by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 36-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 4 to Hurricanes by 23 · median Hurricanes by 11
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 11 is 27-16 as readily as 39-28.
Round 9
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 11 to Blues by 6 · median Chiefs by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 2 is 22-20 as readily as 33-31.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Queensland Reds by 2 to Brumbies by 15 · median Brumbies by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 34-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Western Force by 7 to Fijian Drua by 8 · median Fijian Drua by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Fijian Drua by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 33-32.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 4 to Hurricanes by 25 · median Hurricanes by 13
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 80 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 13 is 28-15 as readily as 40-27.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 12 to New South Wales Waratahs by 3 · median Crusaders by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 4 is 24-20 as readily as 35-31.
Round 10
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 10 to Brumbies by 6 · median Hurricanes by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 2 is 22-20 as readily as 33-31.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 4 to Chiefs by 24 · median Chiefs by 12
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 79 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 12 is 28-16 as readily as 40-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.
Middle half of outcomes: New South Wales Waratahs by 4 to Highlanders by 12 · median Highlanders by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Highlanders by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 11 to Western Force by 6 · median Crusaders by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.
Round 11
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 5 to Queensland Reds by 13 · median Queensland Reds by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Queensland Reds by 2 is 22-20 as readily as 32-30.
Round 12
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 20 to Hurricanes by 1 · median Hurricanes by 9
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 80 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 9 is 27-18 as readily as 38-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 4 to Blues by 11 · median Blues by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Blues by 3 is 22-19 as readily as 33-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 4 to Chiefs by 14 · median Chiefs by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Highlanders by 1 to Queensland Reds by 16 · median Queensland Reds by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Queensland Reds by 6 is 24-18 as readily as 35-29.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Western Force by 6 to New South Wales Waratahs by 10 · median New South Wales Waratahs by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a New South Wales Waratahs by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 33-31.
Round 13
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 1 to Blues by 20 · median Blues by 9
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Blues by 9 is 25-16 as readily as 37-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 7 to Brumbies by 9 · median Brumbies by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.
Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Hurricanes by 16 · median Hurricanes by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 35-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Queensland Reds by 6 to New South Wales Waratahs by 10 · median New South Wales Waratahs by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a New South Wales Waratahs by 2 is 22-20 as readily as 33-31.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Western Force by 1 to Western Force by 16 · median Western Force by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Western Force by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 35-28.
Round 14
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 3 to Chiefs by 20 · median Chiefs by 9
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 9 is 25-16 as readily as 37-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 2 to Crusaders by 21 · median Crusaders by 10
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 10 is 27-17 as readily as 38-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 9 to Fijian Drua by 7 · median Brumbies by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 1 is 22-21 as readily as 33-32.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 7 to Western Force by 9 · median Western Force by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Western Force by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 16 to Highlanders by 1 · median Hurricanes by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 79 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 6 is 25-19 as readily as 36-30.
Round 15
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 14 to Fijian Drua by 2 · median Crusaders by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 80 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 5 is 24-19 as readily as 36-31.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Western Force by 1 to Queensland Reds by 14 · median Queensland Reds by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Queensland Reds by 5 is 23-18 as readily as 34-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 3 to Chiefs by 23 · median Chiefs by 11
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 11 is 27-16 as readily as 39-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 3 to Hurricanes by 22 · median Hurricanes by 11
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 11 is 27-16 as readily as 38-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 6 to New South Wales Waratahs by 10 · median New South Wales Waratahs by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a New South Wales Waratahs by 1 is 22-21 as readily as 33-32.
Round 16
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 11 to Brumbies by 5 · median Chiefs by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 3 is 22-19 as readily as 33-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 2 to Crusaders by 21 · median Crusaders by 10
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 10 is 26-16 as readily as 38-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Highlanders by 1 to Blues by 19 · median Blues by 8
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Blues by 8 is 25-17 as readily as 36-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.
Middle half of outcomes: New South Wales Waratahs by 7 to Fijian Drua by 9 · median Fijian Drua by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Fijian Drua by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 13 to Queensland Reds by 4 · median Hurricanes by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 4 is 23-19 as readily as 34-30.
Round 17
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 3 to Hurricanes by 25 · median Hurricanes by 12
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 12 is 27-15 as readily as 38-26.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 4 to Queensland Reds by 12 · median Queensland Reds by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Queensland Reds by 3 is 22-19 as readily as 33-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Western Force by 1 to Western Force by 18 · median Western Force by 8
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Western Force by 8 is 25-17 as readily as 37-29.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 12 to Highlanders by 4 · median Crusaders by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 4 is 24-20 as readily as 35-31.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 13 to New South Wales Waratahs by 2 · median Chiefs by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 79 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 5 is 24-19 as readily as 36-31.