80 pool fixtures · 5,000 simulations · knockout ties are on the overview, in the bracket

Round 1

Brumbies
31-22average
New South Wales Waratahs
74%

3% draw

24%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Brumbies by 18 · median Brumbies by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 35-28.

Crusaders
33-21average
Queensland Reds
85%

3% draw

13%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 2 to Crusaders by 20 · median Crusaders by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 9 is 26-17 as readily as 37-28.

Blues
25-29average
Hurricanes
41%

3% draw

57%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 12 to Blues by 5 · median Hurricanes by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 2 is 22-20 as readily as 34-32.

Fijian Drua
27-25average
Highlanders
56%

3% draw

41%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Highlanders by 6 to Fijian Drua by 11 · median Fijian Drua by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Fijian Drua by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Western Force
25-28average
Chiefs
41%

2% draw

57%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 11 to Western Force by 6 · median Chiefs by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 2 is 22-20 as readily as 33-31.

Round 2

Crusaders
28-24average
Hurricanes
55%

3% draw

42%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 5 to Crusaders by 11 · median Crusaders by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Western Force
27-25average
Brumbies
60%

2% draw

38%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 5 to Western Force by 10 · median Western Force by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Western Force by 3 is 22-19 as readily as 33-30.

Highlanders
28-26average
Blues
52%

2% draw

45%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 7 to Highlanders by 10 · median Highlanders by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Highlanders by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 33-32.

New South Wales Waratahs
29-23average
Fijian Drua
70%

3% draw

28%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Fijian Drua by 1 to New South Wales Waratahs by 15 · median New South Wales Waratahs by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a New South Wales Waratahs by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 34-28.

Queensland Reds
25-28average
Chiefs
40%

2% draw

58%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 11 to Queensland Reds by 5 · median Chiefs by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 2 is 22-20 as readily as 33-31.

Round 3

Hurricanes
35-20average
Western Force
84%

3% draw

14%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 3 to Hurricanes by 24 · median Hurricanes by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 79 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 12 is 28-16 as readily as 39-27.

Brumbies
32-22average
Highlanders
76%

3% draw

22%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 1 to Brumbies by 18 · median Brumbies by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 8 is 25-17 as readily as 36-28.

Chiefs
33-21average
New South Wales Waratahs
84%

3% draw

14%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 2 to Chiefs by 21 · median Chiefs by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 9 is 26-17 as readily as 37-28.

Fijian Drua
27-26average
Queensland Reds
51%

2% draw

47%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Queensland Reds by 7 to Fijian Drua by 9 · median Fijian Drua by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Fijian Drua by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.

Blues
25-28average
Crusaders
47%

3% draw

51%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 10 to Blues by 6 · median Crusaders by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.

Round 4

Highlanders
28-25average
Western Force
58%

3% draw

39%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Western Force by 6 to Highlanders by 11 · median Highlanders by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Highlanders by 2 is 22-20 as readily as 33-31.

New South Wales Waratahs
23-33average
Hurricanes
24%

3% draw

74%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 18 to a draw · median Hurricanes by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 80 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 7 is 25-18 as readily as 37-30.

Blues
28-24average
Queensland Reds
67%

2% draw

31%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Queensland Reds by 4 to Blues by 12 · median Blues by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Blues by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 34-30.

Brumbies
32-21average
Fijian Drua
79%

3% draw

18%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 1 to Brumbies by 19 · median Brumbies by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 9 is 26-17 as readily as 37-28.

Crusaders
28-24average
Chiefs
64%

2% draw

33%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 4 to Crusaders by 13 · median Crusaders by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.

Round 5

Crusaders
35-20average
Highlanders
87%

2% draw

11%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 4 to Crusaders by 23 · median Crusaders by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 79 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 11 is 27-16 as readily as 39-28.

Western Force
28-23average
Queensland Reds
69%

2% draw

29%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Queensland Reds by 2 to Western Force by 13 · median Western Force by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Western Force by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 33-28.

Chiefs
34-19average
Blues
78%

3% draw

19%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 1 to Chiefs by 25 · median Chiefs by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 11 is 26-15 as readily as 37-26.

Hurricanes
37-20average
Fijian Drua
90%

2% draw

7%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 5 to Hurricanes by 25 · median Hurricanes by 14

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 81 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 14 is 29-15 as readily as 41-27.

New South Wales Waratahs
27-27average
Brumbies
50%

2% draw

48%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 8 to New South Wales Waratahs by 8 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 21-21 as readily as 32-32.

Round 6

Brumbies
31-22average
Western Force
77%

3% draw

21%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 1 to Brumbies by 17 · median Brumbies by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 35-28.

Hurricanes
30-22average
Crusaders
73%

2% draw

24%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Hurricanes by 17 · median Hurricanes by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 35-28.

Fijian Drua
27-27average
Blues
44%

3% draw

54%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 9 to Fijian Drua by 7 · median Blues by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Blues by 1 is 22-21 as readily as 33-32.

Highlanders
26-30average
Chiefs
31%

3% draw

67%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 12 to Highlanders by 3 · median Chiefs by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 79 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 4 is 24-20 as readily as 35-31.

Queensland Reds
30-23average
New South Wales Waratahs
68%

3% draw

29%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.

Middle half of outcomes: New South Wales Waratahs by 2 to Queensland Reds by 17 · median Queensland Reds by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Queensland Reds by 6 is 24-18 as readily as 35-29.

Round 7

Crusaders
33-20average
Blues
78%

2% draw

19%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 1 to Crusaders by 22 · median Crusaders by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 10 is 26-16 as readily as 37-27.

Highlanders
27-26average
Brumbies
51%

2% draw

47%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 7 to Highlanders by 9 · median Highlanders by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Highlanders by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 33-32.

Western Force
30-22average
New South Wales Waratahs
70%

2% draw

28%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.

Middle half of outcomes: New South Wales Waratahs by 1 to Western Force by 16 · median Western Force by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Western Force by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 34-28.

Chiefs
27-25average
Hurricanes
52%

3% draw

46%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 7 to Chiefs by 9 · median Chiefs by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.

Queensland Reds
33-22average
Fijian Drua
78%

3% draw

20%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Queensland Reds by 1 to Queensland Reds by 20 · median Queensland Reds by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Queensland Reds by 8 is 25-17 as readily as 37-29.

Round 8

Crusaders
32-21average
Brumbies
83%

2% draw

15%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 2 to Crusaders by 20 · median Crusaders by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 10 is 25-15 as readily as 37-27.

Blues
31-23average
New South Wales Waratahs
73%

3% draw

24%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Blues by 17 · median Blues by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Blues by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 36-29.

Chiefs
34-20average
Western Force
81%

3% draw

17%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 2 to Chiefs by 23 · median Chiefs by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 10 is 26-16 as readily as 37-27.

Highlanders
31-23average
Fijian Drua
72%

3% draw

25%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Fijian Drua by 1 to Highlanders by 16 · median Highlanders by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Highlanders by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 36-29.

Hurricanes
35-20average
Queensland Reds
87%

3% draw

11%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 4 to Hurricanes by 23 · median Hurricanes by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 11 is 27-16 as readily as 39-28.

Round 9

Blues
25-28average
Chiefs
41%

3% draw

56%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 11 to Blues by 6 · median Chiefs by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 2 is 22-20 as readily as 33-31.

Brumbies
29-23average
Queensland Reds
68%

2% draw

30%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Queensland Reds by 2 to Brumbies by 15 · median Brumbies by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 34-28.

Fijian Drua
27-27average
Western Force
51%

3% draw

46%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Western Force by 7 to Fijian Drua by 8 · median Fijian Drua by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Fijian Drua by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 33-32.

Hurricanes
36-20average
Highlanders
88%

3% draw

9%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 4 to Hurricanes by 25 · median Hurricanes by 13

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 80 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 13 is 28-15 as readily as 40-27.

New South Wales Waratahs
26-30average
Crusaders
32%

2% draw

66%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 12 to New South Wales Waratahs by 3 · median Crusaders by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 4 is 24-20 as readily as 35-31.

Round 10

Brumbies
26-28average
Hurricanes
42%

3% draw

56%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 10 to Brumbies by 6 · median Hurricanes by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 2 is 22-20 as readily as 33-31.

Chiefs
36-20average
Fijian Drua
87%

2% draw

10%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 4 to Chiefs by 24 · median Chiefs by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 79 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 12 is 28-16 as readily as 40-28.

Highlanders
28-24average
New South Wales Waratahs
65%

3% draw

33%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: New South Wales Waratahs by 4 to Highlanders by 12 · median Highlanders by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Highlanders by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.

Western Force
25-28average
Crusaders
45%

3% draw

53%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 11 to Western Force by 6 · median Crusaders by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.

Round 11

Queensland Reds
28-24average
Blues
54%

3% draw

43%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 5 to Queensland Reds by 13 · median Queensland Reds by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Queensland Reds by 2 is 22-20 as readily as 32-30.

Round 12

Fijian Drua
23-34average
Hurricanes
21%

2% draw

77%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 20 to Hurricanes by 1 · median Hurricanes by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 80 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 9 is 27-18 as readily as 38-29.

Blues
28-24average
Brumbies
63%

3% draw

35%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 4 to Blues by 11 · median Blues by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Blues by 3 is 22-19 as readily as 33-30.

Chiefs
29-23average
Crusaders
63%

3% draw

35%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 4 to Chiefs by 14 · median Chiefs by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.

Queensland Reds
31-23average
Highlanders
71%

3% draw

26%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Highlanders by 1 to Queensland Reds by 16 · median Queensland Reds by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Queensland Reds by 6 is 24-18 as readily as 35-29.

New South Wales Waratahs
27-26average
Western Force
56%

2% draw

42%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Western Force by 6 to New South Wales Waratahs by 10 · median New South Wales Waratahs by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a New South Wales Waratahs by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 33-31.

Round 13

Blues
32-21average
Fijian Drua
78%

3% draw

19%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 1 to Blues by 20 · median Blues by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Blues by 9 is 25-16 as readily as 37-28.

Brumbies
27-26average
Crusaders
54%

2% draw

43%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 7 to Brumbies by 9 · median Brumbies by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.

Hurricanes
30-22average
Chiefs
74%

3% draw

23%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Hurricanes by 16 · median Hurricanes by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 35-28.

New South Wales Waratahs
28-25average
Queensland Reds
58%

2% draw

40%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Queensland Reds by 6 to New South Wales Waratahs by 10 · median New South Wales Waratahs by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a New South Wales Waratahs by 2 is 22-20 as readily as 33-31.

Western Force
31-22average
Highlanders
76%

2% draw

22%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Western Force by 1 to Western Force by 16 · median Western Force by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Western Force by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 35-28.

Round 14

Chiefs
33-21average
Queensland Reds
85%

2% draw

13%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 3 to Chiefs by 20 · median Chiefs by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 9 is 25-16 as readily as 37-28.

Crusaders
34-22average
New South Wales Waratahs
82%

2% draw

16%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 2 to Crusaders by 21 · median Crusaders by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 10 is 27-17 as readily as 38-28.

Fijian Drua
27-28average
Brumbies
43%

3% draw

54%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 9 to Fijian Drua by 7 · median Brumbies by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 1 is 22-21 as readily as 33-32.

Western Force
27-25average
Blues
54%

2% draw

43%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 7 to Western Force by 9 · median Western Force by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Western Force by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.

Highlanders
24-32average
Hurricanes
26%

2% draw

72%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 16 to Highlanders by 1 · median Hurricanes by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 79 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 6 is 25-19 as readily as 36-30.

Round 15

Fijian Drua
25-31average
Crusaders
28%

2% draw

70%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 14 to Fijian Drua by 2 · median Crusaders by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 80 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 5 is 24-19 as readily as 36-31.

Queensland Reds
29-23average
Western Force
70%

3% draw

28%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Western Force by 1 to Queensland Reds by 14 · median Queensland Reds by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Queensland Reds by 5 is 23-18 as readily as 34-29.

Chiefs
35-20average
Highlanders
86%

3% draw

12%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 3 to Chiefs by 23 · median Chiefs by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 11 is 27-16 as readily as 39-28.

Hurricanes
34-20average
Brumbies
85%

3% draw

13%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 3 to Hurricanes by 22 · median Hurricanes by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 11 is 27-16 as readily as 38-27.

New South Wales Waratahs
28-26average
Blues
51%

3% draw

47%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 6 to New South Wales Waratahs by 10 · median New South Wales Waratahs by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a New South Wales Waratahs by 1 is 22-21 as readily as 33-32.

Round 16

Brumbies
25-28average
Chiefs
38%

3% draw

60%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 11 to Brumbies by 5 · median Chiefs by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 3 is 22-19 as readily as 33-30.

Crusaders
33-21average
Western Force
82%

2% draw

16%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 2 to Crusaders by 21 · median Crusaders by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 10 is 26-16 as readily as 38-28.

Blues
32-22average
Highlanders
72%

3% draw

25%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Highlanders by 1 to Blues by 19 · median Blues by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Blues by 8 is 25-17 as readily as 36-28.

Fijian Drua
27-26average
New South Wales Waratahs
54%

2% draw

44%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.

Middle half of outcomes: New South Wales Waratahs by 7 to Fijian Drua by 9 · median Fijian Drua by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Fijian Drua by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.

Queensland Reds
25-29average
Hurricanes
35%

2% draw

62%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 13 to Queensland Reds by 4 · median Hurricanes by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 4 is 23-19 as readily as 34-30.

Round 17

Hurricanes
35-19average
Blues
85%

2% draw

13%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 3 to Hurricanes by 25 · median Hurricanes by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 12 is 27-15 as readily as 38-26.

Queensland Reds
28-24average
Brumbies
62%

3% draw

35%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 4 to Queensland Reds by 12 · median Queensland Reds by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Queensland Reds by 3 is 22-19 as readily as 33-30.

Western Force
32-22average
Fijian Drua
79%

3% draw

19%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Western Force by 1 to Western Force by 18 · median Western Force by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Western Force by 8 is 25-17 as readily as 37-29.

Highlanders
26-29average
Crusaders
34%

2% draw

64%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 12 to Highlanders by 4 · median Crusaders by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 4 is 24-20 as readily as 35-31.

New South Wales Waratahs
25-30average
Chiefs
29%

2% draw

69%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 13 to New South Wales Waratahs by 2 · median Chiefs by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 79 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 5 is 24-19 as readily as 36-31.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

Search

Jump to a tournament, a page, or a team