Super Rugby Pacific 2027

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 1 to Brumbies by 17 · median Brumbies by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 2 to Crusaders by 20 · median Crusaders by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 14 to Blues by 4 · median Hurricanes by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Highlanders by 6 to Fijian Drua by 10 · median Fijian Drua by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Fijian Drua by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 11 to Western Force by 6 · median Chiefs by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 5 to Crusaders by 12 · median Crusaders by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 32-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 6 to Western Force by 10 · median Western Force by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Western Force by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 30-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 7 to Highlanders by 10 · median Highlanders by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Highlanders by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Fijian Drua by 2 to New South Wales Waratahs by 17 · median New South Wales Waratahs by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a New South Wales Waratahs by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 33-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 10 to Queensland Reds by 7 · median Chiefs by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 2 to Hurricanes by 24 · median Hurricanes by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 11 is 26-15 as readily as 37-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Brumbies by 19 · median Brumbies by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 35-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 3 to Chiefs by 21 · median Chiefs by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 11 is 25-14 as readily as 37-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Queensland Reds by 12 to Fijian Drua by 6 · median Queensland Reds by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Queensland Reds by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 13 to Blues by 5 · median Crusaders by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Western Force by 4 to Highlanders by 12 · median Highlanders by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Highlanders by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 16 to New South Wales Waratahs by 1 · median Hurricanes by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 6 is 24-18 as readily as 35-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Queensland Reds by 3 to Blues by 12 · median Blues by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Blues by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 32-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 1 to Brumbies by 20 · median Brumbies by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 9 is 25-16 as readily as 36-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 5 to Crusaders by 11 · median Crusaders by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 3 is 20-17 as readily as 30-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 3 to Crusaders by 23 · median Crusaders by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 12 is 27-15 as readily as 38-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Queensland Reds by 5 to Western Force by 12 · median Western Force by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Western Force by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 31-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 2 to Chiefs by 20 · median Chiefs by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 10 is 25-15 as readily as 36-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 5 to Hurricanes by 25 · median Hurricanes by 13

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 13 is 27-14 as readily as 38-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 10 to New South Wales Waratahs by 7 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 20-20 as readily as 30-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 1 to Brumbies by 16 · median Brumbies by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 33-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Hurricanes by 16 · median Hurricanes by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 7 to Fijian Drua by 9 · median Fijian Drua by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Fijian Drua by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 11 to Highlanders by 5 · median Chiefs by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 3 is 22-19 as readily as 34-31.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Queensland Reds by 17 · median Queensland Reds by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Queensland Reds by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 2 to Crusaders by 18 · median Crusaders by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 6 to Highlanders by 11 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 20-20 as readily as 31-31.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Western Force by 14 · median Western Force by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Western Force by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 34-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 6 to Chiefs by 10 · median Chiefs by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 30-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Queensland Reds by 1 to Queensland Reds by 21 · median Queensland Reds by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Queensland Reds by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 1 to Crusaders by 20 · median Crusaders by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 1 to Blues by 15 · median Blues by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Blues by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 35-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 2 to Chiefs by 19 · median Chiefs by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 9 is 25-16 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Fijian Drua by 1 to Highlanders by 18 · median Highlanders by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Highlanders by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 4 to Hurricanes by 24 · median Hurricanes by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 12 is 26-14 as readily as 37-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 13 to Blues by 5 · median Chiefs by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 3 is 22-19 as readily as 32-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Queensland Reds by 2 to Brumbies by 15 · median Brumbies by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 32-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Western Force by 6 to Fijian Drua by 10 · median Fijian Drua by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Fijian Drua by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 4 to Hurricanes by 26 · median Hurricanes by 13

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 13 is 27-14 as readily as 38-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 11 to New South Wales Waratahs by 5 · median Crusaders by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 33-31.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 10 to Brumbies by 6 · median Hurricanes by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 4 to Chiefs by 23 · median Chiefs by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 11 is 26-15 as readily as 37-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: New South Wales Waratahs by 3 to Highlanders by 15 · median Highlanders by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Highlanders by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 33-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 10 to Western Force by 6 · median Crusaders by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 5 to Queensland Reds by 12 · median Queensland Reds by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Queensland Reds by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 31-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 17 to a draw · median Hurricanes by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 35-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 5 to Blues by 11 · median Blues by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Blues by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 31-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 3 to Chiefs by 13 · median Chiefs by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 31-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Queensland Reds by 19 · median Queensland Reds by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Queensland Reds by 8 is 23-15 as readily as 34-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Western Force by 5 to New South Wales Waratahs by 11 · median New South Wales Waratahs by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a New South Wales Waratahs by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 32-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 1 to Blues by 17 · median Blues by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Blues by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 35-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 10 to Brumbies by 7 · median Crusaders by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 1 to Hurricanes by 14 · median Hurricanes by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 32-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Queensland Reds by 6 to New South Wales Waratahs by 11 · median New South Wales Waratahs by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a New South Wales Waratahs by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Highlanders by 1 to Western Force by 18 · median Western Force by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Western Force by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 2 to Chiefs by 20 · median Chiefs by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 10 is 25-15 as readily as 36-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 2 to Crusaders by 19 · median Crusaders by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 9 is 25-16 as readily as 36-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 9 to Fijian Drua by 7 · median Brumbies by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Brumbies by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 6 to Western Force by 11 · median Western Force by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Western Force by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 16 to Highlanders by 1 · median Hurricanes by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 6 is 24-18 as readily as 35-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 11 to Fijian Drua by 4 · median Crusaders by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 3 is 23-20 as readily as 34-31.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Western Force by 2 to Queensland Reds by 15 · median Queensland Reds by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Queensland Reds by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 32-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Chiefs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 3 to Chiefs by 23 · median Chiefs by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 12 is 27-15 as readily as 38-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 3 to Hurricanes by 23 · median Hurricanes by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 11 is 25-14 as readily as 36-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 7 to New South Wales Waratahs by 9 · median New South Wales Waratahs by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a New South Wales Waratahs by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Brumbies wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 10 to Brumbies by 6 · median Chiefs by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Crusaders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 1 to Crusaders by 20 · median Crusaders by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 9 is 25-16 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Blues by 1 to Blues by 15 · median Blues by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Blues by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Fijian Drua wins.

Middle half of outcomes: New South Wales Waratahs by 5 to Fijian Drua by 10 · median Fijian Drua by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Fijian Drua by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 10 to Queensland Reds by 6 · median Hurricanes by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Hurricanes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Hurricanes by 3 to Hurricanes by 19 · median Hurricanes by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Hurricanes by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Queensland Reds wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Brumbies by 5 to Queensland Reds by 12 · median Queensland Reds by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Queensland Reds by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 30-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Western Force wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Western Force by 1 to Western Force by 20 · median Western Force by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Western Force by 9 is 25-16 as readily as 36-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Highlanders wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Crusaders by 13 to Highlanders by 5 · median Crusaders by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Crusaders by 2 is 22-20 as readily as 33-31.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are New South Wales Waratahs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Chiefs by 14 to New South Wales Waratahs by 3 · median Chiefs by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Chiefs by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.