Assume a result and see what follows from it. The figures come from the same 5,000 simulations behind the published forecast, counting only the ones that went the way you assumed — so a combination that never came up has no answer.

Nothing assumed yet — these are the published forecasts.

Assume a result

Select a winner, or a draw. Select it again to release it. Fixtures already played cannot be changed.

Round 1

Round 2

Round 3

Round 4

Round 5

Round 6

Round 7

Round 8

Round 9

Round 10

Round 11

Round 12

Round 13

Round 14

Round 15

Round 16

Round 17

What follows

Winning the tournament, and reaching the quarter-finals, against the same figures with nothing assumed.

TeamWinChangeQualifyChange
Hurricanes46.1%99.4%
Chiefs24.0%97.0%
Crusaders20.9%96.3%
Brumbies3.7%74.8%
Blues1.7%59.0%
Queensland Reds1.5%58.2%
Western Force1.2%49.7%
New South Wales Waratahs0.4%24.6%
Highlanders0.3%25.5%
Fijian Drua0.1%15.5%
Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

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