Top 14 2027

Averaged across all simulations. Win % is the probability of finishing first. Learn more

Team	Win %	Avg Pts	Avg PD	Avg W	Avg D	Avg L
Bordeaux Begles	25.9%	87.3	+172.7	17.3	0.6	8.1
Montpellier Herault	21.5%	85.6	+160.3	16.9	0.7	8.4
Stade Toulousain	19.9%	85.5	+156.0	17.0	0.6	8.4
Stade Francais Paris	11.4%	80.1	+117.1	15.7	0.6	9.6
La Rochelle	8.2%	78.2	+98.3	15.3	0.6	10.0
Clermont Auvergne	6.4%	76.5	+76.7	15.0	0.7	10.4
Racing 92	4.3%	74.4	+65.0	14.5	0.7	10.9
Pau	2.0%	70.4	+32.2	13.6	0.7	11.8
Castres Olympique	0.3%	59.7	-41.3	11.0	0.7	14.4
Lyon	0.0%	56.8	-72.5	10.3	0.7	15.0
Toulon	0.0%	55.8	-71.4	10.0	0.7	15.3
BABayonne	0.0%	51.7	-117.6	9.2	0.6	16.1
PEPerpignan	0.0%	45.8	-179.8	7.9	0.7	17.4
UMUS Montauban	0.0%	27.3	-395.7	3.7	0.6	21.6

Position Distribution

Percentage of simulations each team finished in each position. Darker cells indicate higher likelihood.

Team	#1	#2	#3	#4	#5	#6	#7	#8	#9	#10	#11	#12	#13	#14
Bordeaux Begles	28.9%	22.1%	15.3%	12.3%	8.3%	6.0%	3.9%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%	-	-	-
Montpellier Herault	22.3%	20.0%	17.3%	13.5%	10.5%	7.2%	4.9%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	-	-	-
Stade Toulousain	22.0%	18.9%	17.2%	13.7%	10.9%	7.5%	5.0%	3.0%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.1%	-	-
Stade Francais Paris	9.3%	12.0%	14.1%	14.8%	14.0%	13.5%	10.1%	6.1%	3.6%	1.6%	0.5%	0.3%	-	-
La Rochelle	7.3%	9.6%	11.9%	12.9%	14.2%	14.1%	12.1%	8.8%	5.0%	2.6%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%	-
Clermont Auvergne	4.9%	8.2%	9.7%	12.4%	13.8%	14.4%	13.3%	11.6%	6.5%	3.1%	1.4%	0.6%	0.1%	-
Racing 92	3.6%	5.6%	8.0%	10.5%	12.8%	14.3%	15.7%	13.6%	8.2%	4.8%	2.0%	0.8%	0.3%	-
Pau	1.5%	3.1%	5.2%	7.4%	9.9%	12.9%	15.3%	16.5%	12.5%	8.0%	4.9%	2.1%	0.7%	0.1%
Castres Olympique	0.1%	0.2%	0.8%	1.2%	2.4%	4.1%	7.1%	12.1%	18.9%	19.5%	15.6%	11.6%	6.0%	0.3%
Lyon	-	0.1%	0.3%	0.8%	1.6%	2.4%	5.1%	8.4%	15.7%	19.1%	19.6%	16.3%	9.8%	0.6%
Toulon	-	0.1%	0.2%	0.5%	1.1%	2.2%	4.5%	8.6%	13.3%	18.6%	20.9%	17.5%	11.4%	1.0%
BABayonne	-	-	0.1%	0.1%	0.5%	1.2%	2.2%	4.9%	9.4%	14.3%	19.9%	25.3%	20.0%	2.2%
PEPerpignan	-	-	-	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.8%	1.6%	3.7%	7.3%	13.5%	23.4%	42.9%	6.4%
UMUS Montauban	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.1%	0.3%	1.6%	8.6%	89.4%

Each tie lists the teams that reached it. The first figure is how often the team reaches the tie; the second, shaded darker, how often it reaches the tie and wins. Nobody is fixed into a tie — who plays whom is itself a simulated outcome. Select a tie for the full list, or switch to Likely path for the bracket drawn as a tree.