Finished · all 187 fixtures played. Nothing here is a forecast.
How the 2026 edition finished.
| 1 | 26 | 18 | 0 | 8 | +364 | 16 | 88 | |
| 2 | 26 | 17 | 1 | 8 | +237 | 12 | 82 | |
| 3 | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | +205 | 17 | 79 | |
| 4 | 26 | 17 | 0 | 9 | +152 | 10 | 78 | |
| 5 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 9 | +105 | 8 | 74 | |
| 6 | 26 | 15 | 0 | 11 | +190 | 12 | 72 | |
| 7 | 26 | 15 | 0 | 11 | +104 | 11 | 71 | |
| 8 | 26 | 14 | 0 | 12 | +103 | 14 | 70 | |
| 9 | 26 | 12 | 1 | 13 | -106 | 9 | 59 | |
| 10 | 26 | 11 | 0 | 15 | -91 | 11 | 55 | |
| 11 | 26 | 11 | 1 | 14 | -40 | 7 | 53 | |
| 12 | 26 | 11 | 0 | 15 | -122 | 7 | 51 | |
| 13 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 20 | -247 | 5 | 29 | |
| 14 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 24 | -854 | 1 | 7 |
Nobody is fixed into a tie — who plays whom is itself a simulated outcome, so a tie is described by who turned up in it rather than by a pairing. Select any tie for everyone who reached it, or switch to Likely path for the bracket drawn as a tree.
Each tie lists every team that reached it. The first figure is how often the team reaches the tie; the second, shaded darker, how often it reaches the tie and wins. Both are shares of every simulation, so they are not a head-to-head between two sides.
Quarter-finals
Stade Francais Paris✓ · ✓
La Rochelle✓ · –
Pau✓ · –
Racing 92✓ · ✓
Semi-finals
Stade Toulousain✓ · ✓
Racing 92✓ · –
Montpellier Herault✓ · ✓
Stade Francais Paris✓ · –
Final
Stade Toulousain✓ · ✓
Montpellier Herault✓ · –
All 182 pool fixtures — the results, on the Matches tab.