Finished · all 187 fixtures played. Nothing here is a forecast.

How the 2026 edition finished.

1Stade ToulousainChampions261808+3641688
2Montpellier Herault261718+2371282
3Stade Francais Paris2615110+2051779
4Pau261709+1521078
5Racing 92261619+105874
6La Rochelle2615011+1901272
7Clermont Auvergne2615011+1041171
8Bordeaux Begles2614012+1031470
9Toulon2612113-106959
10Castres Olympique2611015-911155
11Lyon2611114-40753
12Bayonne2611015-122751
13Perpignan266020-247529
14US Montauban261124-85417

Nobody is fixed into a tie — who plays whom is itself a simulated outcome, so a tie is described by who turned up in it rather than by a pairing. Select any tie for everyone who reached it, or switch to Likely path for the bracket drawn as a tree.

Each tie lists every team that reached it. The first figure is how often the team reaches the tie; the second, shaded darker, how often it reaches the tie and wins. Both are shares of every simulation, so they are not a head-to-head between two sides.

Quarter-finals

  • Stade Francais Paris✓ · ✓
  • La Rochelle✓ · –
  • Pau✓ · –
  • Racing 92✓ · ✓

Semi-finals

  • Stade Toulousain✓ · ✓
  • Racing 92✓ · –
  • Montpellier Herault✓ · ✓
  • Stade Francais Paris✓ · –

Final

  • Stade Toulousain✓ · ✓
  • Montpellier Herault✓ · –

All 182 pool fixtures — the results, on the Matches tab.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

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