182 pool fixtures · 5,000 simulations · knockout ties are on the overview, in the bracket
Round 1
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are US Montauban wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bayonne by 18 to US Montauban by 1 · median Bayonne by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bayonne by 7 is 25-18 as readily as 36-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 14 to Toulon by 1 · median Bordeaux Begles by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 34-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 9 to Castres Olympique by 4 · median Stade Toulousain by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 3 is 22-19 as readily as 33-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 6 to Clermont Auvergne by 12 · median Clermont Auvergne by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 31-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 3 to La Rochelle by 15 · median La Rochelle by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 31-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Lyon by 10 to Perpignan by 7 · median Lyon by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lyon by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.
Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Montpellier Herault by 19 · median Montpellier Herault by 8
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 35-27.
Round 2
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Toulon by 7 to Bayonne by 8 · median Bayonne by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bayonne by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are US Montauban wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 27 to Stade Toulousain by 4 · median Stade Toulousain by 13
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 81 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 13 is 29-16 as readily as 41-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 3 to Bordeaux Begles by 16 · median Bordeaux Begles by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 33-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 10 to Castres Olympique by 6 · median Racing 92 by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 12 to Perpignan by 2 · median Clermont Auvergne by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 34-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 6 to Pau by 9 · median Pau by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 30-29.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 3 to Montpellier Herault by 22 · median Montpellier Herault by 11
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 11 is 26-15 as readily as 37-26.
Round 3
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 2 to Stade Toulousain by 20 · median Stade Toulousain by 10
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 10 is 25-15 as readily as 36-26.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 13 to Toulon by 4 · median Stade Francais Paris by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 5 to Racing 92 by 27 · median Racing 92 by 14
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 81 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 14 is 29-15 as readily as 41-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 18 to Bordeaux Begles by 1 · median Bordeaux Begles by 8
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 8 is 25-17 as readily as 36-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Castres Olympique by 2 to Pau by 15 · median Pau by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 33-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 6 to Clermont Auvergne by 11 · median Clermont Auvergne by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 30-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 9 to Lyon by 5 · median La Rochelle by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 33-31.
Round 4
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 12 to Bayonne by 4 · median Stade Francais Paris by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 2 to Stade Toulousain by 15 · median Stade Toulousain by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 32-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Toulon by 11 to Perpignan by 7 · median Toulon by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Toulon by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 31-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are US Montauban wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 23 to Pau by 2 · median Pau by 11
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 80 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 11 is 27-16 as readily as 39-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 4 to Bordeaux Begles by 14 · median Bordeaux Begles by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 31-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Lyon by 4 to Castres Olympique by 15 · median Castres Olympique by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Castres Olympique by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 32-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 4 to La Rochelle by 13 · median La Rochelle by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 31-27.
Round 5
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 2 to Racing 92 by 20 · median Racing 92 by 9
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 4 to Stade Francais Paris by 24 · median Stade Francais Paris by 12
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 12 is 26-14 as readily as 38-26.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 8 to Pau by 7 · median a draw
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 19-19 as readily as 29-29.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 3 to Montpellier Herault by 22 · median Montpellier Herault by 11
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 11 is 26-15 as readily as 37-26.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Lyon by 3 to Lyon by 27 · median Lyon by 13
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lyon by 13 is 28-15 as readily as 39-26.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 5 to La Rochelle by 12 · median La Rochelle by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 30-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Castres Olympique by 1 to Clermont Auvergne by 16 · median Clermont Auvergne by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 33-27.
Round 6
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Perpignan by 3 to Bayonne by 15 · median Bayonne by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bayonne by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 33-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 3 to Racing 92 by 14 · median Racing 92 by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 31-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 6 to Stade Francais Paris by 12 · median Stade Francais Paris by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 12 to Lyon by 3 · median Stade Toulousain by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 5 is 23-18 as readily as 34-29.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 10 to Toulon by 5 · median La Rochelle by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are US Montauban wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 26 to Clermont Auvergne by 3 · median Clermont Auvergne by 12
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 36 and 81 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 12 is 28-16 as readily as 40-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 11 to Castres Olympique by 3 · median Bordeaux Begles by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.
Round 7
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bayonne by 1 to Pau by 20 · median Pau by 8
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 35-27.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 4 to Montpellier Herault by 26 · median Montpellier Herault by 14
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 14 is 28-14 as readily as 39-25.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 1 to Racing 92 by 20 · median Racing 92 by 9
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 3 to Stade Francais Paris by 14 · median Stade Francais Paris by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 32-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 2 to Stade Toulousain by 16 · median Stade Toulousain by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 32-27.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Toulon by 4 to Castres Olympique by 14 · median Castres Olympique by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Castres Olympique by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 32-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 5 to Bordeaux Begles by 27 · median Bordeaux Begles by 14
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 36 and 83 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 14 is 30-16 as readily as 42-28.
Round 8
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 3 to Montpellier Herault by 24 · median Montpellier Herault by 11
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 11 is 26-15 as readily as 37-26.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 11 to Lyon by 6 · median Pau by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 3 to La Rochelle by 26 · median La Rochelle by 13
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 13 is 27-14 as readily as 38-25.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 5 to Clermont Auvergne by 12 · median Clermont Auvergne by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 30-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 10 to Castres Olympique by 6 · median Stade Francais Paris by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 5 to Stade Toulousain by 12 · median Stade Toulousain by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 30-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Toulon by 2 to Toulon by 27 · median Toulon by 12
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 79 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Toulon by 12 is 28-16 as readily as 39-27.
Round 9
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Lyon by 7 to Bayonne by 9 · median Bayonne by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bayonne by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 3 to Montpellier Herault by 16 · median Montpellier Herault by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 33-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 6 to Pau by 10 · median Pau by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Castres Olympique by 6 to Perpignan by 11 · median a draw
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 19-19 as readily as 30-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 1 to Bordeaux Begles by 17 · median Bordeaux Begles by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 33-27.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are US Montauban wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 25 to Stade Francais Paris by 3 · median Stade Francais Paris by 12
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 81 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 12 is 28-16 as readily as 40-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 2 to Stade Toulousain by 20 · median Stade Toulousain by 10
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 10 is 25-15 as readily as 36-26.
Round 10
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 1 to La Rochelle by 19 · median La Rochelle by 8
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 35-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 9 to Lyon by 4 · median Clermont Auvergne by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 1 to Montpellier Herault by 21 · median Montpellier Herault by 9
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 9 is 25-16 as readily as 36-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.
Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Bordeaux Begles by 19 · median Bordeaux Begles by 8
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 8 is 23-15 as readily as 34-26.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Perpignan by 1 to Perpignan by 24 · median Perpignan by 11
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Perpignan by 11 is 26-15 as readily as 38-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 9 to Toulon by 7 · median Racing 92 by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 6 to Stade Francais Paris by 12 · median Stade Francais Paris by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 30-29.
Round 11
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 11 to Bayonne by 5 · median Clermont Auvergne by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 3 is 22-19 as readily as 33-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.
Middle half of outcomes: a draw to La Rochelle by 18 · median La Rochelle by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 2 to Bordeaux Begles by 24 · median Bordeaux Begles by 11
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 11 is 26-15 as readily as 37-26.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 5 to Montpellier Herault by 27 · median Montpellier Herault by 14
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 82 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 14 is 29-15 as readily as 42-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 9 to Toulon by 7 · median Pau by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 4 to Stade Toulousain by 26 · median Stade Toulousain by 13
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 13 is 27-14 as readily as 39-26.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 6 to Racing 92 by 10 · median Racing 92 by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 30-28.
Round 12
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Castres Olympique by 9 to Bayonne by 7 · median Castres Olympique by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Castres Olympique by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 11 to Clermont Auvergne by 6 · median a draw
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 20-20 as readily as 31-31.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 5 to La Rochelle by 26 · median La Rochelle by 14
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 80 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 14 is 29-15 as readily as 41-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Toulon by 5 to Lyon by 13 · median Lyon by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lyon by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 6 to Stade Toulousain by 12 · median Stade Toulousain by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 29-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 7 to Pau by 10 · median Pau by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 1 to Racing 92 by 20 · median Racing 92 by 9
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 9 is 25-16 as readily as 36-27.
Round 13
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 3 to Bordeaux Begles by 22 · median Bordeaux Begles by 11
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 11 is 26-15 as readily as 37-26.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are US Montauban wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Castres Olympique by 17 to Castres Olympique by 1 · median Castres Olympique by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Castres Olympique by 7 is 25-18 as readily as 36-29.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 1 to Clermont Auvergne by 18 · median Clermont Auvergne by 8
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 35-27.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 6 to La Rochelle by 11 · median La Rochelle by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 30-29.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 1 to Stade Francais Paris by 21 · median Stade Francais Paris by 10
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 10 is 25-15 as readily as 36-26.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 7 to Racing 92 by 10 · median Racing 92 by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 30-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 1 to Pau by 21 · median Pau by 10
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 10 is 25-15 as readily as 35-25.
Round 14
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bayonne by 3 to Bayonne by 27 · median Bayonne by 13
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bayonne by 13 is 28-15 as readily as 40-27.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 2 to Bordeaux Begles by 24 · median Bordeaux Begles by 11
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 11 is 26-15 as readily as 37-26.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 1 to Stade Toulousain by 18 · median Stade Toulousain by 8
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 35-27.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 3 to Stade Francais Paris by 15 · median Stade Francais Paris by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 32-27.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 5 to Racing 92 by 12 · median Racing 92 by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 30-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Lyon by 19 · median Lyon by 8
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lyon by 8 is 23-15 as readily as 34-26.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 8 to Pau by 7 · median Montpellier Herault by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
Round 15
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bayonne by 2 to Toulon by 17 · median Toulon by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Toulon by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 33-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 5 to Stade Toulousain by 27 · median Stade Toulousain by 14
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 36 and 80 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 14 is 29-15 as readily as 41-27.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 6 to Stade Francais Paris by 11 · median a draw
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 19-19 as readily as 30-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Castres Olympique by 1 to Racing 92 by 15 · median Racing 92 by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 34-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 3 to Clermont Auvergne by 25 · median Clermont Auvergne by 12
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 12 is 26-14 as readily as 37-25.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 2 to La Rochelle by 16 · median La Rochelle by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 33-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 12 to Lyon by 3 · median Montpellier Herault by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.
Round 16
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 13 to Bayonne by 3 · median Stade Toulousain by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 5 is 23-18 as readily as 34-29.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 1 to Stade Francais Paris by 20 · median Stade Francais Paris by 9
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are US Montauban wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 25 to Racing 92 by 2 · median Racing 92 by 12
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 81 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 12 is 28-16 as readily as 40-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 4 to Bordeaux Begles by 25 · median Bordeaux Begles by 13
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 13 is 27-14 as readily as 38-25.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 6 to Castres Olympique by 11 · median Castres Olympique by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Castres Olympique by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 1 to Montpellier Herault by 18 · median Montpellier Herault by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 7 is 22-15 as readily as 33-26.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 1 to La Rochelle by 19 · median La Rochelle by 9
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 9 is 25-16 as readily as 36-27.
Round 17
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 1 to Stade Francais Paris by 18 · median Stade Francais Paris by 9
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 36-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 9 to Racing 92 by 7 · median a draw
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 19-19 as readily as 29-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Perpignan by 2 to Toulon by 17 · median Toulon by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Toulon by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 34-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 5 to Pau by 27 · median Pau by 14
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 80 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 14 is 29-15 as readily as 41-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 5 to Montpellier Herault by 12 · median Montpellier Herault by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 31-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Castres Olympique by 5 to Lyon by 13 · median Lyon by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lyon by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 31-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 5 to Clermont Auvergne by 13 · median Clermont Auvergne by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 3 is 20-17 as readily as 30-27.
Round 18
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 9 to Bayonne by 5 · median Racing 92 by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 31-29.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 12 to Stade Francais Paris by 1 · median Stade Francais Paris by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 5 is 23-18 as readily as 34-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 1 to Stade Toulousain by 17 · median Stade Toulousain by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 33-26.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 13 to Toulon by 3 · median Montpellier Herault by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 4 is 23-19 as readily as 33-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are US Montauban wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Lyon by 22 to a draw · median Lyon by 9
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lyon by 9 is 26-17 as readily as 37-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 3 to Bordeaux Begles by 16 · median Bordeaux Begles by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 32-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 10 to Castres Olympique by 7 · median Clermont Auvergne by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
Round 19
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bayonne by 6 to Perpignan by 13 · median a draw
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 19-19 as readily as 30-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 5 to Pau by 10 · median Pau by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 30-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 2 to Montpellier Herault by 17 · median Montpellier Herault by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 33-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 2 to Stade Toulousain by 22 · median Stade Toulousain by 10
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 10 is 25-15 as readily as 36-26.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 1 to La Rochelle by 17 · median La Rochelle by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 6 to Clermont Auvergne by 27 · median Clermont Auvergne by 14
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 81 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 14 is 29-15 as readily as 41-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 1 to Bordeaux Begles by 17 · median Bordeaux Begles by 8
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 35-27.
Round 20
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 10 to Bayonne by 4 · median Pau by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 18 to Montpellier Herault by 1 · median Montpellier Herault by 8
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 8 is 25-17 as readily as 36-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 9 to Lyon by 7 · median Racing 92 by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 6 to La Rochelle by 11 · median La Rochelle by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 30-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 9 to Clermont Auvergne by 7 · median Stade Toulousain by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 30-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Castres Olympique by 5 to Toulon by 14 · median Toulon by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Toulon by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 32-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are US Montauban wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 25 to Bordeaux Begles by 4 · median Bordeaux Begles by 12
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 37 and 84 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 12 is 29-17 as readily as 42-30.
Round 21
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 13 to Bayonne by 2 · median Montpellier Herault by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 5 is 23-18 as readily as 34-29.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Lyon by 1 to Pau by 18 · median Pau by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 11 to Perpignan by 2 · median La Rochelle by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 34-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 6 to Racing 92 by 11 · median Racing 92 by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 29-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 1 to Stade Francais Paris by 16 · median Stade Francais Paris by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 34-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 6 to Bordeaux Begles by 10 · median Bordeaux Begles by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 30-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are US Montauban wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Toulon by 18 to US Montauban by 1 · median Toulon by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Toulon by 7 is 25-18 as readily as 36-29.
Round 22
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bayonne by 1 to Lyon by 15 · median Lyon by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lyon by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 33-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 6 to La Rochelle by 11 · median La Rochelle by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 2 to Clermont Auvergne by 16 · median Clermont Auvergne by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 32-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Perpignan by 2 to Castres Olympique by 19 · median Castres Olympique by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Castres Olympique by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 33-27.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 10 to Racing 92 by 6 · median Bordeaux Begles by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 5 to Stade Francais Paris by 27 · median Stade Francais Paris by 14
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 35 and 81 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 14 is 30-16 as readily as 41-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 13 to Toulon by 3 · median Stade Toulousain by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.
Round 23
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 12 to Bayonne by 5 · median La Rochelle by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 32-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Clermont Auvergne by 18 · median Clermont Auvergne by 8
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 35-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 10 to Castres Olympique by 3 · median Montpellier Herault by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 32-29.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 9 to Pau by 6 · median Bordeaux Begles by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are US Montauban wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Perpignan by 14 to US Montauban by 1 · median Perpignan by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Perpignan by 5 is 23-18 as readily as 34-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 1 to Racing 92 by 16 · median Racing 92 by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 35-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 3 to Stade Toulousain by 13 · median Stade Toulousain by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 32-28.
Round 24
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 1 to Clermont Auvergne by 21 · median Clermont Auvergne by 9
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 9 is 25-16 as readily as 35-26.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 10 to Castres Olympique by 6 · median La Rochelle by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 12 to Lyon by 2 · median Bordeaux Begles by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are US Montauban wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 27 to Montpellier Herault by 4 · median Montpellier Herault by 13
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 36 and 81 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 13 is 29-16 as readily as 41-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Toulon by 2 to Pau by 15 · median Pau by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 33-27.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 17 to Perpignan by 1 · median Stade Toulousain by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 35-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 4 to Stade Francais Paris by 14 · median Stade Francais Paris by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 31-27.
Round 25
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bayonne by 4 to Castres Olympique by 15 · median Castres Olympique by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Castres Olympique by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 32-29.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 2 to Bordeaux Begles by 18 · median Bordeaux Begles by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 33-27.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are US Montauban wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 26 to La Rochelle by 3 · median La Rochelle by 12
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 36 and 81 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 12 is 28-16 as readily as 40-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Lyon by 6 to Toulon by 11 · median Toulon by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Toulon by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 7 to Montpellier Herault by 10 · median Montpellier Herault by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 29-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 2 to Stade Francais Paris by 17 · median Stade Francais Paris by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 33-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 10 to Perpignan by 5 · median Racing 92 by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.
Round 26
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 14 to Bayonne by 1 · median Bordeaux Begles by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 5 is 23-18 as readily as 34-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Castres Olympique by 4 to Castres Olympique by 28 · median Castres Olympique by 14
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 34 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Castres Olympique by 14 is 28-14 as readily as 40-26.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 9 to Toulon by 4 · median Clermont Auvergne by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 4 to Stade Toulousain by 14 · median Stade Toulousain by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 32-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 12 to Lyon by 5 · median Stade Francais Paris by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 3 is 22-19 as readily as 32-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 2 to Montpellier Herault by 17 · median Montpellier Herault by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 33-27.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 9 to Perpignan by 4 · median Pau by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.