Top 14 2027

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Vannes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bayonne by 7 to Vannes by 8 · median Vannes by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Vannes by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 4 to Toulon by 13 · median Toulon by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Toulon by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 32-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lyon by 3 to Perpignan by 11 · median Perpignan by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Perpignan by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 32-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 4 to Castres Olympique by 12 · median Castres Olympique by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Castres Olympique by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 32-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 3 to Perpignan by 12 · median Perpignan by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Perpignan by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 32-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 3 to Montpellier Herault by 22 · median Montpellier Herault by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 11 is 25-14 as readily as 36-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 3 to Toulon by 14 · median Toulon by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Toulon by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 32-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 4 to Racing 92 by 24 · median Racing 92 by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 12 is 26-14 as readily as 36-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 12 to Clermont Auvergne by 5 · median Montpellier Herault by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 33-31.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 2 to Stade Toulousain by 22 · median Stade Toulousain by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 11 is 25-14 as readily as 36-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Toulon by 7 to Perpignan by 8 · median Perpignan by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Perpignan by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 5 to Bordeaux Begles by 11 · median Bordeaux Begles by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 31-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lyon by 2 to Castres Olympique by 13 · median Castres Olympique by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Castres Olympique by 5 is 21-16 as readily as 32-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 5 to Pau by 12 · median Pau by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 30-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lyon by 2 to Lyon by 21 · median Lyon by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lyon by 10 is 25-15 as readily as 35-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to La Rochelle by 15 · median La Rochelle by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 32-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bayonne by 2 to Bayonne by 21 · median Bayonne by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bayonne by 10 is 24-14 as readily as 34-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 2 to Racing 92 by 14 · median Racing 92 by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 5 is 21-16 as readily as 32-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 13 to Lyon by 4 · median Stade Toulousain by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 34-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Vannes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 6 to Vannes by 9 · median Vannes by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Vannes by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 9 to Castres Olympique by 7 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 20-20 as readily as 31-31.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.

Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 5 to Stade Francais Paris by 12 · median Stade Francais Paris by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 31-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 4 to Stade Toulousain by 26 · median Stade Toulousain by 14

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 14 is 27-13 as readily as 38-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Vannes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 17 to Vannes by 2 · median Bordeaux Begles by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 34-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 3 to Montpellier Herault by 23 · median Montpellier Herault by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 11 is 25-14 as readily as 36-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.

Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 3 to La Rochelle by 24 · median La Rochelle by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 12 is 26-14 as readily as 37-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 6 to Clermont Auvergne by 10 · median Clermont Auvergne by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 6 to Castres Olympique by 10 · median Castres Olympique by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Castres Olympique by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lyon by 1 to Bayonne by 14 · median Bayonne by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bayonne by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 32-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 1 to Montpellier Herault by 19 · median Montpellier Herault by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 8 is 23-15 as readily as 33-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 3 to Pau by 22 · median Pau by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 11 is 25-14 as readily as 35-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 4 to Stade Francais Paris by 23 · median Stade Francais Paris by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 12 is 26-14 as readily as 37-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 2 to Stade Toulousain by 22 · median Stade Toulousain by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 11 is 25-14 as readily as 36-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.

Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 2 to La Rochelle by 21 · median La Rochelle by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 10 is 24-14 as readily as 35-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 4 to Montpellier Herault by 24 · median Montpellier Herault by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 12 is 26-14 as readily as 37-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 1 to Bordeaux Begles by 15 · median Bordeaux Begles by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 33-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 7 to Stade Francais Paris by 8 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 20-20 as readily as 31-31.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.

Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 3 to La Rochelle by 22 · median La Rochelle by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 11 is 25-14 as readily as 36-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 3 to Toulon by 14 · median Toulon by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Toulon by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 33-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 4 to Stade Toulousain by 25 · median Stade Toulousain by 13

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 13 is 27-14 as readily as 38-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 4 to Racing 92 by 14 · median Racing 92 by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 32-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Bayonne by 18 · median Bayonne by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bayonne by 7 is 22-15 as readily as 33-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Vannes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 14 to Vannes by 4 · median La Rochelle by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Toulon by 5 to Lyon by 12 · median Lyon by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lyon by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 30-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Pau by 15 · median Pau by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 33-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 2 to Bordeaux Begles by 21 · median Bordeaux Begles by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 10 is 25-15 as readily as 35-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Toulon by 5 to Clermont Auvergne by 12 · median Clermont Auvergne by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 10 to Racing 92 by 7 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 19-19 as readily as 30-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 3 to Pau by 24 · median Pau by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 12 is 26-14 as readily as 36-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bayonne by 3 to Bayonne by 25 · median Bayonne by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bayonne by 12 is 25-13 as readily as 36-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 1 to Bordeaux Begles by 21 · median Bordeaux Begles by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 3 to Stade Toulousain by 24 · median Stade Toulousain by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 12 is 26-14 as readily as 37-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 2 to Stade Francais Paris by 21 · median Stade Francais Paris by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 10 is 24-14 as readily as 35-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.

Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 4 to Racing 92 by 13 · median Racing 92 by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 31-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Lyon by 15 · median Lyon by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lyon by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 33-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 6 to Pau by 11 · median Pau by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Toulon by 18 · median Toulon by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Toulon by 7 is 22-15 as readily as 33-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 5 to Stade Toulousain by 26 · median Stade Toulousain by 14

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 14 is 28-14 as readily as 39-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 4 to Stade Francais Paris by 11 · median Stade Francais Paris by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 3 is 20-17 as readily as 31-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 1 to Racing 92 by 19 · median Racing 92 by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 8 is 23-15 as readily as 34-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Perpignan by 1 to Clermont Auvergne by 17 · median Clermont Auvergne by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 7 is 22-15 as readily as 33-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to La Rochelle by 15 · median La Rochelle by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 32-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 12 to Lyon by 5 · median Montpellier Herault by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 3 is 22-19 as readily as 32-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 10 to Bayonne by 7 · median Stade Toulousain by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Toulon by 1 to Stade Francais Paris by 16 · median Stade Francais Paris by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 33-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Vannes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 12 to Vannes by 5 · median Racing 92 by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 3 to Bordeaux Begles by 24 · median Bordeaux Begles by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 12 is 26-14 as readily as 37-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 11 to Castres Olympique by 6 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 20-20 as readily as 31-31.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 4 to Montpellier Herault by 24 · median Montpellier Herault by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 12 is 26-14 as readily as 37-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.

Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 2 to La Rochelle by 19 · median La Rochelle by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 9 is 25-16 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 1 to Stade Francais Paris by 17 · median Stade Francais Paris by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 8 to Racing 92 by 9 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 20-20 as readily as 30-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Toulon by 2 to Toulon by 22 · median Toulon by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Toulon by 11 is 25-14 as readily as 36-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 4 to Pau by 24 · median Pau by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 12 is 26-14 as readily as 37-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 1 to Montpellier Herault by 16 · median Montpellier Herault by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 7 is 22-15 as readily as 33-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Castres Olympique by 1 to Lyon by 14 · median Lyon by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lyon by 5 is 21-16 as readily as 31-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 7 to Clermont Auvergne by 8 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 20-20 as readily as 31-31.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 4 to Bayonne by 13 · median Bayonne by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bayonne by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 31-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 10 to Perpignan by 7 · median Stade Francais Paris by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 1 to Stade Toulousain by 20 · median Stade Toulousain by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 34-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 6 to Toulon by 10 · median Toulon by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Toulon by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Vannes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lyon by 7 to Vannes by 8 · median Vannes by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Vannes by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.

Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 1 to Bordeaux Begles by 16 · median Bordeaux Begles by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 32-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Castres Olympique by 14 · median Castres Olympique by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Castres Olympique by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 32-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bayonne by 6 to Perpignan by 10 · median Perpignan by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Perpignan by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 1 to Pau by 18 · median Pau by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 8 is 23-15 as readily as 34-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 2 to Montpellier Herault by 20 · median Montpellier Herault by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 3 to Stade Toulousain by 23 · median Stade Toulousain by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 11 is 26-15 as readily as 36-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.

Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 2 to La Rochelle by 20 · median La Rochelle by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 34-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 2 to Clermont Auvergne by 21 · median Clermont Auvergne by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 10 is 25-15 as readily as 35-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 3 to Bordeaux Begles by 22 · median Bordeaux Begles by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 11 is 25-14 as readily as 36-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 6 to Bayonne by 11 · median Bayonne by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bayonne by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 15 to Perpignan by 3 · median Montpellier Herault by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 5 is 23-18 as readily as 34-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 5 to Lyon by 11 · median Lyon by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lyon by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 31-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to La Rochelle by 16 · median La Rochelle by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 7 is 22-15 as readily as 33-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 13 to Clermont Auvergne by 4 · median Stade Toulousain by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Toulon by 2 to Toulon by 21 · median Toulon by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Toulon by 10 is 24-14 as readily as 35-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 4 to Bordeaux Begles by 26 · median Bordeaux Begles by 13

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 13 is 26-13 as readily as 37-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 11 to Bayonne by 6 · median Montpellier Herault by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 2 to Pau by 19 · median Pau by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.

Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 11 to Perpignan by 6 · median La Rochelle by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 1 to Racing 92 by 17 · median Racing 92 by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 8 is 23-15 as readily as 34-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 3 to Stade Francais Paris by 22 · median Stade Francais Paris by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 11 is 25-14 as readily as 35-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 5 to Bordeaux Begles by 12 · median Bordeaux Begles by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 31-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Vannes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Toulon by 12 to Vannes by 5 · median Toulon by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Toulon by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bayonne by 4 to Lyon by 12 · median Lyon by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lyon by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 32-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 4 to La Rochelle by 11 · median La Rochelle by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 32-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 7 to Clermont Auvergne by 9 · median Clermont Auvergne by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Castres Olympique by 1 to Castres Olympique by 17 · median Castres Olympique by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Castres Olympique by 7 is 22-15 as readily as 33-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 5 to Racing 92 by 13 · median Racing 92 by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 31-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Vannes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 11 to Vannes by 6 · median Stade Francais Paris by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 7 to Toulon by 10 · median Toulon by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Toulon by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 6 to Bayonne by 10 · median Bayonne by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bayonne by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lyon by 3 to Clermont Auvergne by 12 · median Clermont Auvergne by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 31-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 11 to Castres Olympique by 5 · median Montpellier Herault by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 2 to Pau by 13 · median Pau by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 5 is 21-16 as readily as 32-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Vannes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Perpignan by 6 to Vannes by 10 · median Vannes by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Vannes by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Toulon by 2 to Racing 92 by 16 · median Racing 92 by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 32-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 1 to Stade Toulousain by 21 · median Stade Toulousain by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 34-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bayonne by 4 to Clermont Auvergne by 11 · median Clermont Auvergne by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 3 is 20-17 as readily as 31-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.

Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 7 to Castres Olympique by 8 · median Castres Olympique by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Castres Olympique by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 9 to Lyon by 7 · median Bordeaux Begles by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 5 to Montpellier Herault by 26 · median Montpellier Herault by 14

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 14 is 28-14 as readily as 39-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 1 to Pau by 19 · median Pau by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 8 is 23-15 as readily as 34-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 14 to Perpignan by 4 · median Stade Toulousain by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 3 is 22-19 as readily as 33-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Stade Francais Paris by 17 · median Stade Francais Paris by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 7 is 22-15 as readily as 33-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Castres Olympique wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bayonne by 4 to Castres Olympique by 14 · median Castres Olympique by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Castres Olympique by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 32-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 3 to Bordeaux Begles by 23 · median Bordeaux Begles by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 11 is 25-14 as readily as 36-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.

Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 5 to La Rochelle by 25 · median La Rochelle by 13

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 13 is 26-13 as readily as 37-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Toulon by 1 to Toulon by 18 · median Toulon by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Toulon by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 34-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 2 to Montpellier Herault by 14 · median Montpellier Herault by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 5 is 21-16 as readily as 32-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 4 to Stade Francais Paris by 13 · median Stade Francais Paris by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 31-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 7 to Perpignan by 9 · median Perpignan by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Perpignan by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bayonne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 7 to Bayonne by 9 · median Bayonne by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bayonne by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Vannes wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Castres Olympique by 6 to Vannes by 10 · median Vannes by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Vannes by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Toulon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Toulon by 2 to Toulon by 21 · median Toulon by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Toulon by 10 is 24-14 as readily as 35-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 1 to Stade Toulousain by 19 · median Stade Toulousain by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lyon wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 5 to Lyon by 11 · median Lyon by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lyon by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 30-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 2 to Montpellier Herault by 23 · median Montpellier Herault by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 11 is 25-14 as readily as 36-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Perpignan wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 9 to Perpignan by 7 · median Pau by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.