Assume a result and see what follows from it. The figures come from the same 5,000 simulations behind the published forecast, counting only the ones that went the way you assumed — so a combination that never came up has no answer.
Nothing assumed yet — these are the published forecasts.
Assume a result
Select a winner, or a draw. Select it again to release it. Fixtures already played cannot be changed.
Round 1
played
played
played
played
Round 2
played
played
played
played
Round 3
played
played
played
played
Round 4
played
played
played
Round 5
played
played
played
played
Round 6
played
played
Round 7
played
played
played
played
Round 8
played
played
played
Round 9
played
played
Round 10
played
played
played
Round 11
played
played
played
Round 12
played
played
played
Round 13
played
played
played
Round 14
Round 15
Round 16
Round 17
Round 18
Round 19
Round 20
Round 21
Round 22
Round 23
Round 24
Round 25
Round 26
What follows
Winning the tournament, and reaching the quarter-finals, against the same figures with nothing assumed.
| Team | Win | Change | Qualify | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Toulousain | 46.7% | — | 99.8% | — |
| Montpellier Herault | 20.3% | — | 93.0% | — |
| Bordeaux Begles | 9.7% | — | 87.9% | — |
| Pau | 9.5% | — | 88.4% | — |
| La Rochelle | 9.5% | — | 87.0% | — |
| Stade Francais Paris | 2.1% | — | 47.3% | — |
| Toulon | 1.0% | — | 30.3% | — |
| Bayonne | 0.6% | — | 29.7% | — |
| Racing 92 | 0.5% | — | 18.4% | — |
| Lyon | <0.1% | — | 10.3% | — |
| Castres Olympique | <0.1% | — | 2.5% | — |
| Clermont Auvergne | <0.1% | — | 3.0% | — |
| Perpignan | <0.1% | — | 2.4% | — |
| Vannes | <0.1% | — | <0.1% | — |