Assume a result and see what follows from it. The figures come from the same 5,000 simulations behind the published forecast, counting only the ones that went the way you assumed — so a combination that never came up has no answer.
Nothing assumed yet — these are the published forecasts.
Assume a result
Select a winner, or a draw. Select it again to release it. Fixtures already played cannot be changed.
Round 1
played
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Round 2
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Round 3
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Round 4
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Round 5
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Round 6
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Round 7
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Round 8
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Round 9
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Round 10
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Round 11
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Round 12
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Round 13
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Round 14
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Round 15
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Round 16
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Round 17
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Round 18
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Round 19
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Round 20
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Round 21
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Round 22
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Round 23
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Round 24
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Round 25
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Round 26
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What follows
Winning the tournament, and reaching the quarter-finals, against the same figures with nothing assumed.
| Team | Win | Change | Qualify | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Toulousain | 63.7% | — | 100.0% | — |
| Stade Francais Paris | 12.4% | — | 99.7% | — |
| Montpellier Herault | 8.1% | — | 100.0% | — |
| Bordeaux Begles | 6.1% | — | 52.7% | — |
| La Rochelle | 3.8% | — | 80.6% | — |
| Clermont Auvergne | 2.5% | — | 39.9% | — |
| Pau | 2.5% | — | 74.4% | — |
| Racing 92 | 0.8% | — | 52.7% | — |
| Bayonne | <0.1% | — | <0.1% | — |
| Castres Olympique | <0.1% | — | <0.1% | — |
| Lyon | <0.1% | — | <0.1% | — |
| Perpignan | <0.1% | — | <0.1% | — |
| Toulon | <0.1% | — | <0.1% | — |
| US Montauban | <0.1% | — | <0.1% | — |