United Rugby Championship 2027

Each team's average across the simulations, rounded to whole matches and points so that every row adds up. Win % is the chance of finishing first. Learn more

Team	Win %	P	W	D	L	PD	BP	Pts
Glasgow Warriors	26.0%	18	12	2	4	+134	12	64
Leinster	23.6%	18	11	1	6	+128	13	59
Stormers	16.3%	18	12	0	6	+110	11	59
Bulls	15.3%	18	11	1	6	+150	12	58
Sharks	5.5%	18	10	1	7	+58	11	53
Connacht	3.8%	18	10	0	8	+20	9	49
Munster	3.7%	18	9	2	7	+35	11	51
Edinburgh	1.5%	18	10	0	8	+10	10	50
Lions	1.4%	18	9	1	8	-31	9	47
Cardiff Blues	1.1%	18	9	0	9	-9	10	46
Ulster	1.1%	18	7	2	9	-17	12	44
Ospreys	0.5%	18	8	1	9	-40	9	43
Dragons	0.1%	18	6	1	11	-90	10	36
Benetton Treviso	0.1%	18	5	1	12	-86	11	33
Scarlets	0.0%	18	5	1	12	-122	10	32
Zebre	0.0%	18	3	0	15	-251	7	19

Position Distribution

Percentage of simulations each team finished in each position. Darker cells indicate higher likelihood.

Team	#1	#2	#3	#4	#5	#6	#7	#8	#9	#10	#11	#12	#13	#14	#15	#16
Glasgow Warriors	40.9%	23.4%	14.9%	8.8%	5.0%	3.3%	2.0%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.2%	-	0.1%	-	-	-
Leinster	18.3%	20.2%	18.0%	13.5%	9.6%	6.4%	5.1%	3.6%	2.2%	1.4%	0.7%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%	-	-
Stormers	14.7%	17.7%	16.8%	14.7%	12.2%	8.2%	5.8%	4.3%	2.5%	1.8%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.1%	-	-
Bulls	15.2%	17.3%	16.8%	14.1%	10.8%	9.0%	6.2%	4.5%	2.8%	1.7%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	-	-	-
Sharks	4.5%	8.0%	9.6%	12.8%	12.3%	12.2%	10.3%	7.9%	7.4%	6.0%	4.4%	2.7%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%	-
Connacht	0.9%	2.3%	4.0%	6.3%	8.9%	10.6%	10.7%	11.9%	12.1%	10.5%	9.4%	6.4%	3.6%	1.8%	0.7%	-
Munster	1.8%	4.3%	6.9%	9.1%	10.9%	12.0%	11.7%	11.6%	10.0%	8.2%	5.5%	4.2%	2.2%	1.1%	0.4%	-
Edinburgh	1.9%	3.3%	5.9%	7.2%	10.5%	10.7%	12.2%	11.7%	10.9%	9.3%	7.0%	5.4%	2.6%	1.2%	0.3%	-
Lions	0.7%	1.1%	2.6%	4.3%	6.4%	7.8%	9.9%	10.7%	11.2%	11.7%	12.5%	9.9%	6.5%	3.2%	1.4%	0.1%
Cardiff Blues	0.6%	1.3%	2.4%	4.1%	6.0%	8.3%	9.3%	10.5%	11.9%	11.9%	12.3%	9.5%	6.7%	3.6%	1.6%	0.1%
Ulster	0.2%	0.6%	1.3%	2.7%	3.9%	5.9%	8.2%	10.0%	11.7%	13.4%	13.5%	12.0%	9.1%	5.1%	2.3%	0.1%
Ospreys	0.2%	0.4%	0.8%	2.0%	2.8%	4.5%	6.4%	8.7%	9.8%	11.8%	13.6%	15.1%	11.6%	7.3%	4.4%	0.5%
Dragons	-	-	0.1%	0.2%	0.3%	0.6%	1.2%	2.2%	3.8%	5.7%	8.4%	13.5%	20.5%	21.7%	19.1%	2.7%
Benetton Treviso	-	-	-	-	0.2%	0.3%	0.7%	0.9%	1.7%	3.1%	6.5%	10.3%	18.5%	26.2%	26.4%	5.2%
Scarlets	-	-	-	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.5%	0.8%	1.4%	3.4%	4.4%	9.1%	15.7%	24.9%	32.4%	7.0%
Zebre	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.3%	1.1%	3.4%	10.8%	84.3%

Nobody is fixed into a tie — who plays whom is itself a simulated outcome, so a tie is described by who turned up in it rather than by a pairing. Select any tie for everyone who reached it, or switch to Likely path for the bracket drawn as a tree.