24 of 144 fixtures played. 24 of them were forecast before the match and can be scored: 12 of 24 called correctly.

Sharks v Ospreys41–24+17.029-2174%Right
Zebre v Bulls13–47-34.022-3273%Right
Benetton Treviso v Connacht19–22-3.025-2653%Right
Cardiff Blues v Zebre40–27+13.034-1986%Right
Dragons v Scarlets38–26+12.029-2166%Right
Lions v Ospreys35–19+16.031-1978%Right
Glasgow Warriors v Connacht36–19+17.028-2176%Right
Bulls v Lions57–15+42.028-2169%Right
Leinster v Cardiff Blues29–5+24.031-1881%Right
Scarlets v Benetton Treviso27–26+1.027-2459%Right
Stormers v Sharks39–22+17.028-2368%Right
Zebre v Edinburgh12–29-17.025-2859%Right
Benetton Treviso v Dragons19–19drawn30-213%Wrong
Connacht v Stormers15–29-14.027-2130%Wrong
Ulster v Edinburgh29–34-5.029-2124%Wrong
Lions v Leinster27–26+1.025-2644%Wrong
Munster v Glasgow Warriors20–26-6.026-2341%Wrong
Scarlets v Cardiff Blues15–21-6.026-2548%Wrong
Edinburgh v Stormers17–13+4.025-2648%Wrong
Glasgow Warriors v Ulster33–33drawn32-212%Wrong
Munster v Bulls26–22+4.024-2546%Wrong
Sharks v Leinster26–20+6.025-2549%Wrong
Dragons v Ospreys31–38-7.027-2337%Wrong
Ulster v Munster26–26drawn26-242%Wrong

What is being scored here

The forecast each fixture had while it was still to be played, recorded at the time and never rewritten. A fixture played before that record began cannot be scored and is marked as such.

This is one tournament and a handful of matches. Model performance measures the same thing across every match on record.

50% of 24 is too small a sample to read as an accuracy rate.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

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