United Rugby Championship 2027

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Benetton Treviso wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Dragons by 1 to Benetton Treviso by 19 · median Benetton Treviso by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Benetton Treviso by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 6 to Connacht by 11 · median Connacht by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 30-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ulster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Edinburgh by 2 to Ulster by 17 · median Ulster by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ulster by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 33-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 9 to Lions by 7 · median Leinster by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Munster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 6 to Munster by 10 · median Munster by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 30-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Scarlets wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Cardiff Blues by 11 to Scarlets by 6 · median Cardiff Blues by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Cardiff Blues by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ospreys by 1 to Sharks by 21 · median Sharks by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 8 is 23-15 as readily as 34-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Zebre wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 15 to Bulls by 1 · median Bulls by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 35-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Benetton Treviso wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 9 to Benetton Treviso by 5 · median Connacht by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Cardiff Blues by 1 to Cardiff Blues by 20 · median Cardiff Blues by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Cardiff Blues by 9 is 25-16 as readily as 36-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Edinburgh wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 8 to Edinburgh by 7 · median Stormers by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Dragons wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Scarlets by 3 to Dragons by 17 · median Dragons by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Dragons by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ulster by 1 to Glasgow Warriors by 17 · median Glasgow Warriors by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 32-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 1 to Lions by 18 · median Lions by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lions by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 34-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Munster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 8 to Munster by 7 · median Bulls by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 30-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 9 to Sharks by 5 · median Leinster by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Dragons wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ospreys by 10 to Dragons by 6 · median Ospreys by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ospreys by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 3 to Glasgow Warriors by 15 · median Glasgow Warriors by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 32-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 3 to Bulls by 15 · median Bulls by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 32-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 3 to Leinster by 25 · median Leinster by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 11 is 26-15 as readily as 36-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Scarlets wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Benetton Treviso by 6 to Scarlets by 11 · median Scarlets by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Scarlets by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 2 to Stormers by 16 · median Stormers by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 32-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ulster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 5 to Ulster by 12 · median Ulster by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ulster by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 30-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Zebre wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Edinburgh by 9 to Zebre by 5 · median Edinburgh by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Edinburgh by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 4 to Cardiff Blues by 12 · median Cardiff Blues by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Cardiff Blues by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 32-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 4 to Connacht by 24 · median Connacht by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 12 is 26-14 as readily as 37-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Edinburgh wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 8 to Edinburgh by 8 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 20-20 as readily as 31-31.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Benetton Treviso wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 10 to Benetton Treviso by 6 · median Glasgow Warriors by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ulster by 1 to Bulls by 22 · median Bulls by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 33-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Leinster by 18 · median Leinster by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 8 is 23-15 as readily as 34-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ospreys wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Dragons by 1 to Ospreys by 18 · median Ospreys by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ospreys by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 34-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 3 to Stormers by 23 · median Stormers by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 11 is 26-15 as readily as 37-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 9 to Connacht by 6 · median Leinster by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 3 to Glasgow Warriors by 14 · median Glasgow Warriors by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 32-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Benetton Treviso wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Edinburgh by 6 to Benetton Treviso by 11 · median Benetton Treviso by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Benetton Treviso by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 30-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 3 to Bulls by 24 · median Bulls by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 12 is 26-14 as readily as 38-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Dragons wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Zebre by 3 to Dragons by 16 · median Dragons by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Dragons by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 33-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Munster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 5 to Munster by 11 · median Munster by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ospreys wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Cardiff Blues by 5 to Ospreys by 13 · median Ospreys by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ospreys by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ulster by 3 to Stormers by 17 · median Stormers by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 33-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Edinburgh wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Edinburgh by 1 to Edinburgh by 17 · median Edinburgh by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Edinburgh by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ospreys wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 13 to Ospreys by 3 · median Leinster by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 34-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ulster by 8 to Cardiff Blues by 8 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 19-19 as readily as 29-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 2 to Glasgow Warriors by 19 · median Glasgow Warriors by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 8 to Lions by 8 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 19-19 as readily as 29-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Scarlets wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 11 to Scarlets by 3 · median Connacht by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 34-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 5 to Sharks by 10 · median Sharks by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Zebre wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 12 to Zebre by 4 · median Munster by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Munster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 1 to Munster by 19 · median Munster by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 9 is 25-16 as readily as 36-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ulster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ulster by 1 to Ulster by 19 · median Ulster by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ulster by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 35-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Cardiff Blues by 1 to Cardiff Blues by 19 · median Cardiff Blues by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Cardiff Blues by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 35-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Connacht by 21 · median Connacht by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 34-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 1 to Leinster by 17 · median Leinster by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 32-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 8 to Sharks by 8 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 19-19 as readily as 29-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 4 to Stormers by 13 · median Stormers by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 31-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Zebre wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Benetton Treviso by 9 to Zebre by 4 · median Benetton Treviso by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Benetton Treviso by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Dragons wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Cardiff Blues by 11 to Dragons by 6 · median Cardiff Blues by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Cardiff Blues by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ospreys wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Scarlets by 2 to Ospreys by 19 · median Ospreys by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ospreys by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Benetton Treviso wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Benetton Treviso by 19 · median Benetton Treviso by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Benetton Treviso by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 35-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Edinburgh wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 9 to Edinburgh by 6 · median Glasgow Warriors by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Munster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 10 to Munster by 5 · median Leinster by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ulster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 8 to Ulster by 7 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 19-19 as readily as 30-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ospreys by 1 to Cardiff Blues by 19 · median Cardiff Blues by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Cardiff Blues by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 2 to Connacht by 17 · median Connacht by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 32-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Edinburgh wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Benetton Treviso by 1 to Edinburgh by 16 · median Edinburgh by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Edinburgh by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 33-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 1 to Leinster by 21 · median Leinster by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Scarlets wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Dragons by 4 to Scarlets by 14 · median Scarlets by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Scarlets by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 32-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 5 to Sharks by 12 · median Sharks by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 3 is 20-17 as readily as 30-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Zebre wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 16 to Glasgow Warriors by 1 · median Glasgow Warriors by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 35-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 6 to Stormers by 10 · median Stormers by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 30-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 3 to Glasgow Warriors by 22 · median Glasgow Warriors by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 11 is 26-15 as readily as 37-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ulster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 4 to Ulster by 14 · median Ulster by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ulster by 3 is 20-17 as readily as 31-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Benetton Treviso wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 12 to Benetton Treviso by 5 · median Bulls by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 32-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 4 to Leinster by 25 · median Leinster by 13

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 13 is 27-14 as readily as 38-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 3 to Lions by 23 · median Lions by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lions by 11 is 26-15 as readily as 37-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Munster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 6 to Munster by 11 · median Munster by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 30-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ospreys wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Edinburgh by 5 to Ospreys by 13 · median Ospreys by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ospreys by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Stormers by 20 · median Stormers by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 34-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Dragons wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 10 to Dragons by 6 · median Munster by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 2 to Glasgow Warriors by 20 · median Glasgow Warriors by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Benetton Treviso wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 9 to Benetton Treviso by 8 · median Sharks by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 30-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ulster by 2 to Connacht by 16 · median Connacht by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 32-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 2 to Leinster by 18 · median Leinster by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 33-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Cardiff Blues by 1 to Lions by 19 · median Lions by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lions by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 33-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Scarlets wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Edinburgh by 6 to Scarlets by 11 · median Scarlets by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Scarlets by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 2 to Stormers by 24 · median Stormers by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 12 is 27-15 as readily as 38-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 2 to Lions by 15 · median Lions by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lions by 5 is 21-16 as readily as 32-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 6 to Bulls by 10 · median Bulls by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 30-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ulster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ulster by 2 to Ulster by 20 · median Ulster by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ulster by 9 is 25-16 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Munster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 1 to Munster by 17 · median Munster by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 2 to Bulls by 16 · median Bulls by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 32-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 9 to Cardiff Blues by 7 · median Glasgow Warriors by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Edinburgh wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 13 to Edinburgh by 3 · median Leinster by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 7 to Lions by 9 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 19-19 as readily as 30-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ospreys wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 9 to Ospreys by 7 · median Connacht by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Zebre wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Scarlets by 5 to Zebre by 13 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 20-20 as readily as 30-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Connacht by 17 · median Connacht by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 4 to Glasgow Warriors by 15 · median Glasgow Warriors by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 31-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Edinburgh by 1 to Sharks by 19 · median Sharks by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 33-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 3 to Bulls by 25 · median Bulls by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 12 is 27-15 as readily as 37-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 2 to Leinster by 26 · median Leinster by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 12 is 26-14 as readily as 37-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Munster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 1 to Munster by 19 · median Munster by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 8 is 23-15 as readily as 34-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Scarlets wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 9 to Scarlets by 4 · median Lions by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lions by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Zebre wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ulster by 11 to Zebre by 5 · median Ulster by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ulster by 3 is 22-19 as readily as 33-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 3 to Glasgow Warriors by 23 · median Glasgow Warriors by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 11 is 26-15 as readily as 37-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Scarlets wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 20 to a draw · median Leinster by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 8 is 25-17 as readily as 36-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Benetton Treviso wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ulster by 9 to Benetton Treviso by 6 · median Ulster by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ulster by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 1 to Bulls by 21 · median Bulls by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 9 to Cardiff Blues by 7 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 19-19 as readily as 30-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 3 to Connacht by 16 · median Connacht by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 5 is 21-16 as readily as 32-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ospreys wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 7 to Ospreys by 7 · median Stormers by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 1 to Sharks by 22 · median Sharks by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 10 is 25-15 as readily as 36-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Dragons wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 13 to Dragons by 4 · median Glasgow Warriors by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Edinburgh wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Cardiff Blues by 5 to Edinburgh by 13 · median Edinburgh by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Edinburgh by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 1 to Leinster by 18 · median Leinster by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 7 is 22-15 as readily as 33-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 4 to Lions by 14 · median Lions by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lions by 3 is 20-17 as readily as 30-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ospreys wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 10 to Ospreys by 5 · median Bulls by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 32-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 2 to Stormers by 21 · median Stormers by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 10 is 25-15 as readily as 36-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ulster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ulster by 1 to Ulster by 18 · median Ulster by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ulster by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Zebre wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 10 to Zebre by 3 · median Sharks by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 3 is 22-19 as readily as 32-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 11 to Cardiff Blues by 6 · median Bulls by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ulster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 9 to Ulster by 6 · median Leinster by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Zebre wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ospreys by 9 to Zebre by 5 · median Ospreys by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ospreys by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 3 to Connacht by 21 · median Connacht by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 10 is 25-15 as readily as 36-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 1 to Glasgow Warriors by 21 · median Glasgow Warriors by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Benetton Treviso by 1 to Lions by 18 · median Lions by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lions by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 1 to Sharks by 21 · median Sharks by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 3 to Stormers by 16 · median Stormers by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 32-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Dragons wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 9 to Dragons by 5 · median Lions by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lions by 2 is 22-20 as readily as 33-31.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Edinburgh wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Edinburgh by 18 · median Edinburgh by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Edinburgh by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Benetton Treviso wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Cardiff Blues by 12 to Benetton Treviso by 5 · median Cardiff Blues by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Cardiff Blues by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 30-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 5 to Bulls by 13 · median Bulls by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 3 is 20-17 as readily as 31-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 1 to Leinster by 20 · median Leinster by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Munster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ulster by 5 to Munster by 13 · median Munster by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 31-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Scarlets wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ospreys by 6 to Scarlets by 13 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 20-20 as readily as 30-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 6 to Sharks by 9 · median Sharks by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 30-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Edinburgh wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 9 to Edinburgh by 6 · median Munster by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ospreys wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Benetton Treviso by 2 to Ospreys by 13 · median Ospreys by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ospreys by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 33-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ulster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 6 to Ulster by 10 · median Ulster by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ulster by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 30-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 4 to Bulls by 13 · median Bulls by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 31-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Scarlets by 1 to Cardiff Blues by 21 · median Cardiff Blues by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Cardiff Blues by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Dragons wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 13 to Dragons by 4 · median Stormers by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 33-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 6 to Sharks by 10 · median Sharks by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Zebre wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 22 to Leinster by 2 · median Leinster by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 10 is 26-16 as readily as 38-28.