United Rugby Championship 2027

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 6 to Cardiff Blues by 10 · median Cardiff Blues by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Cardiff Blues by 1 is 18-17 as readily as 28-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 4 to Connacht by 24 · median Connacht by 13

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 13 is 26-13 as readily as 37-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Edinburgh wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 6 to Edinburgh by 11 · median Edinburgh by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Edinburgh by 2 is 19-17 as readily as 29-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Benetton Treviso wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 12 to Benetton Treviso by 3 · median Glasgow Warriors by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 32-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 1 to Bulls by 20 · median Bulls by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 9 is 23-14 as readily as 33-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 1 to Leinster by 18 · median Leinster by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 8 is 22-14 as readily as 32-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ospreys wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Ospreys by 14 · median Ospreys by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ospreys by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 32-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 3 to Stormers by 24 · median Stormers by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 12 is 25-13 as readily as 35-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 7 to Connacht by 10 · median Connacht by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 1 is 18-17 as readily as 28-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 2 to Glasgow Warriors by 22 · median Glasgow Warriors by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 10 is 23-13 as readily as 34-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Benetton Treviso wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Edinburgh by 6 to Benetton Treviso by 12 · median Benetton Treviso by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Benetton Treviso by 3 is 20-17 as readily as 30-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 4 to Bulls by 23 · median Bulls by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 12 is 25-13 as readily as 35-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Dragons wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Dragons by 2 to Dragons by 20 · median Dragons by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Dragons by 9 is 23-14 as readily as 33-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Munster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 5 to Munster by 12 · median Munster by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 3 is 19-16 as readily as 30-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ospreys wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Cardiff Blues by 6 to Ospreys by 9 · median Ospreys by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 65 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ospreys by 2 is 19-17 as readily as 29-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 2 to Stormers by 20 · median Stormers by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 9 is 23-14 as readily as 33-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Edinburgh wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Edinburgh by 19 · median Edinburgh by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Edinburgh by 8 is 22-14 as readily as 33-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ospreys wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 13 to Ospreys by 4 · median Leinster by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 3 is 20-17 as readily as 31-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ulster by 4 to Cardiff Blues by 13 · median Cardiff Blues by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Cardiff Blues by 4 is 20-16 as readily as 30-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 4 to Glasgow Warriors by 25 · median Glasgow Warriors by 13

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 13 is 25-12 as readily as 36-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 10 to Lions by 7 · median Bulls by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 29-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Scarlets wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 13 to Scarlets by 3 · median Connacht by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 31-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 5 to Sharks by 12 · median Sharks by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 2 is 19-17 as readily as 29-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Zebre wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 20 to Munster by 1 · median Munster by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Munster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 2 to Munster by 21 · median Munster by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 34-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ulster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ospreys by 1 to Ulster by 15 · median Ulster by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 27 and 64 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ulster by 6 is 20-14 as readily as 30-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Cardiff Blues by 1 to Cardiff Blues by 18 · median Cardiff Blues by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Cardiff Blues by 8 is 23-15 as readily as 33-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 1 to Connacht by 19 · median Connacht by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 8 is 23-15 as readily as 32-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 2 to Leinster by 14 · median Leinster by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 65 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 5 is 20-15 as readily as 30-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 6 to Sharks by 11 · median Sharks by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 1 is 18-17 as readily as 28-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 2 to Stormers by 20 · median Stormers by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 9 is 23-14 as readily as 32-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Zebre wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Benetton Treviso by 11 to Zebre by 6 · median Benetton Treviso by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Benetton Treviso by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 30-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Dragons wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Cardiff Blues by 10 to Dragons by 7 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 18-18 as readily as 28-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ospreys wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ospreys by 1 to Ospreys by 16 · median Ospreys by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ospreys by 7 is 22-15 as readily as 33-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Benetton Treviso wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Benetton Treviso by 2 to Benetton Treviso by 22 · median Benetton Treviso by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Benetton Treviso by 11 is 24-13 as readily as 35-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Edinburgh wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 10 to Edinburgh by 6 · median Glasgow Warriors by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Munster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 7 to Munster by 9 · median Munster by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 29-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ulster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 6 to Ulster by 11 · median Ulster by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ulster by 2 is 19-17 as readily as 29-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ospreys by 2 to Cardiff Blues by 15 · median Cardiff Blues by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 63 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Cardiff Blues by 5 is 20-15 as readily as 30-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 3 to Connacht by 13 · median Connacht by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 4 is 20-16 as readily as 30-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Edinburgh wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Edinburgh by 2 to Edinburgh by 21 · median Edinburgh by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 65 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Edinburgh by 10 is 23-13 as readily as 33-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 2 to Leinster by 21 · median Leinster by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 10 is 24-14 as readily as 34-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Scarlets wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Dragons by 6 to Scarlets by 11 · median Scarlets by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Scarlets by 2 is 19-17 as readily as 29-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 3 to Sharks by 16 · median Sharks by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 65 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 5 is 20-15 as readily as 30-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Zebre wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 25 to Glasgow Warriors by 3 · median Glasgow Warriors by 13

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 13 is 26-13 as readily as 38-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 4 to Stormers by 13 · median Stormers by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 4 is 20-16 as readily as 30-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 3 to Glasgow Warriors by 23 · median Glasgow Warriors by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 11 is 24-13 as readily as 35-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ulster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 7 to Ulster by 9 · median Ulster by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ulster by 1 is 18-17 as readily as 28-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Benetton Treviso wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 13 to Benetton Treviso by 4 · median Bulls by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 31-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 3 to Leinster by 23 · median Leinster by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 12 is 25-13 as readily as 36-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 4 to Lions by 24 · median Lions by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lions by 12 is 25-13 as readily as 35-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Munster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 4 to Munster by 12 · median Munster by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 65 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 3 is 19-16 as readily as 28-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ospreys wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Edinburgh by 4 to Ospreys by 11 · median Ospreys by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ospreys by 3 is 20-17 as readily as 29-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 3 to Stormers by 22 · median Stormers by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 11 is 24-13 as readily as 34-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Dragons wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 11 to Dragons by 6 · median Munster by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 30-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 3 to Glasgow Warriors by 22 · median Glasgow Warriors by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 11 is 24-13 as readily as 35-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Benetton Treviso wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 9 to Benetton Treviso by 7 · median Sharks by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 29-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 1 to Connacht by 18 · median Connacht by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 8 is 22-14 as readily as 33-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 3 to Leinster by 14 · median Leinster by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 5 is 21-16 as readily as 30-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Cardiff Blues by 4 to Lions by 12 · median Lions by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 27 and 64 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lions by 4 is 20-16 as readily as 29-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Scarlets wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Edinburgh by 7 to Scarlets by 10 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 18-18 as readily as 28-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 5 to Stormers by 27 · median Stormers by 14

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 14 is 27-13 as readily as 37-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 7 to Lions by 10 · median Lions by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lions by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 29-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 4 to Bulls by 12 · median Bulls by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 65 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 3 is 19-16 as readily as 29-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ulster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ulster by 1 to Ulster by 17 · median Ulster by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ulster by 8 is 23-15 as readily as 32-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Munster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 3 to Munster by 23 · median Munster by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 11 is 24-13 as readily as 34-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 1 to Bulls by 18 · median Bulls by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 7 is 21-14 as readily as 31-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 10 to Cardiff Blues by 6 · median Glasgow Warriors by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 29-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Edinburgh wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 12 to Edinburgh by 5 · median Leinster by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 3 is 20-17 as readily as 30-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 6 to Lions by 10 · median Lions by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lions by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 29-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ospreys wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 7 to Ospreys by 8 · median Ospreys by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ospreys by 1 is 18-17 as readily as 28-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Zebre wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Scarlets by 12 to Zebre by 6 · median Scarlets by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Scarlets by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 29-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 2 to Connacht by 19 · median Connacht by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 9 is 23-14 as readily as 33-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 3 to Glasgow Warriors by 14 · median Glasgow Warriors by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 5 is 21-16 as readily as 31-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 1 to Sharks by 20 · median Sharks by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 9 is 23-14 as readily as 33-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 3 to Bulls by 22 · median Bulls by 11

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 11 is 24-13 as readily as 34-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 4 to Leinster by 24 · median Leinster by 13

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 13 is 26-13 as readily as 36-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Munster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 1 to Munster by 18 · median Munster by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 65 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 8 is 22-14 as readily as 32-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Scarlets wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 11 to Scarlets by 5 · median Lions by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lions by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 30-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ulster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ulster by 4 to Ulster by 24 · median Ulster by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ulster by 12 is 25-13 as readily as 36-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 5 to Glasgow Warriors by 27 · median Glasgow Warriors by 14

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 14 is 27-13 as readily as 38-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Scarlets wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 17 to a draw · median Leinster by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 33-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Benetton Treviso wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ulster by 8 to Benetton Treviso by 8 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 19-19 as readily as 29-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 2 to Bulls by 21 · median Bulls by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 10 is 23-13 as readily as 33-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 6 to Cardiff Blues by 10 · median Cardiff Blues by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Cardiff Blues by 2 is 19-17 as readily as 29-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 2 to Connacht by 15 · median Connacht by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 5 is 20-15 as readily as 30-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ospreys wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 12 to Ospreys by 5 · median Stormers by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 3 is 20-17 as readily as 30-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 2 to Sharks by 22 · median Sharks by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 10 is 24-14 as readily as 34-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Dragons wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 14 to Dragons by 1 · median Glasgow Warriors by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 33-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Edinburgh wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Cardiff Blues by 3 to Edinburgh by 13 · median Edinburgh by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Edinburgh by 5 is 21-16 as readily as 31-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Zebre wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 20 to a draw · median Sharks by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 8 is 23-15 as readily as 34-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 1 to Leinster by 18 · median Leinster by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 65 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 8 is 22-14 as readily as 32-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 6 to Lions by 9 · median Lions by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 65 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lions by 2 is 19-17 as readily as 29-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ospreys wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 13 to Ospreys by 4 · median Bulls by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 4 is 20-16 as readily as 30-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 4 to Stormers by 24 · median Stormers by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 12 is 25-13 as readily as 35-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ulster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ulster by 1 to Ulster by 18 · median Ulster by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ulster by 8 is 23-15 as readily as 33-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 11 to Cardiff Blues by 6 · median Bulls by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 1 is 18-17 as readily as 28-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ulster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 11 to Ulster by 6 · median Leinster by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 29-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Zebre wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ospreys by 15 to Zebre by 4 · median Ospreys by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ospreys by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 32-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 2 to Connacht by 19 · median Connacht by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 34-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 3 to Glasgow Warriors by 24 · median Glasgow Warriors by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 12 is 25-13 as readily as 35-23.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 1 to Lions by 19 · median Lions by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lions by 9 is 23-14 as readily as 33-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sharks by 2 to Sharks by 22 · median Sharks by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 10 is 24-14 as readily as 34-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Stormers by 16 · median Stormers by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 65 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 6 is 21-15 as readily as 31-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Dragons wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 10 to Dragons by 7 · median Lions by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lions by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 30-29.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Edinburgh wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Edinburgh by 4 to Edinburgh by 24 · median Edinburgh by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Edinburgh by 12 is 25-13 as readily as 36-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Benetton Treviso wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Cardiff Blues by 7 to Benetton Treviso by 9 · median Benetton Treviso by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Benetton Treviso by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 29-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 5 to Bulls by 12 · median Bulls by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 3 is 19-16 as readily as 29-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 3 to Leinster by 14 · median Leinster by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 27 and 65 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 5 is 20-15 as readily as 30-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Munster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ulster by 1 to Munster by 16 · median Munster by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 6 is 21-15 as readily as 31-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Scarlets wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ospreys by 7 to Scarlets by 8 · median Scarlets by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Scarlets by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 29-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 5 to Sharks by 12 · median Sharks by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 27 and 65 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 2 is 18-16 as readily as 28-26.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Edinburgh wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 7 to Edinburgh by 11 · median Edinburgh by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Edinburgh by 1 is 18-17 as readily as 28-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ospreys wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Ospreys by 1 to Ospreys by 18 · median Ospreys by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 67 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ospreys by 8 is 22-14 as readily as 32-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Ulster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 5 to Ulster by 12 · median Ulster by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 65 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Ulster by 2 is 19-17 as readily as 29-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Bulls by 16 · median Bulls by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 27 and 65 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 7 is 21-14 as readily as 31-24.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Cardiff Blues by 1 to Cardiff Blues by 18 · median Cardiff Blues by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Cardiff Blues by 8 is 23-15 as readily as 33-25.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Dragons wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 12 to Dragons by 4 · median Stormers by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 31-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 6 to Sharks by 11 · median Sharks by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 28 and 66 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sharks by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 28-27.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Zebre wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 26 to Leinster by 3 · median Leinster by 12

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 12 is 26-14 as readily as 37-25.