Assume a result and see what follows from it. The figures come from the same 5,000 simulations behind the published forecast, counting only the ones that went the way you assumed — so a combination that never came up has no answer.

Nothing assumed yet — these are the published forecasts.

Assume a result

Select a winner, or a draw. Select it again to release it. Fixtures already played cannot be changed.

Round 1

played
played
played
played
played
played
played
played

Round 2

played
played
played
played
played
played
played
played

Round 3

played
played
played
played
played
played
played
played

Round 4

Round 5

Round 6

Round 7

Round 8

Round 9

Round 10

Round 11

Round 12

Round 13

Round 14

Round 15

Round 16

Round 17

Round 18

Round 19

What follows

Winning the tournament, and reaching the quarter-finals, against the same figures with nothing assumed.

TeamWinChangeQualifyChange
Glasgow Warriors26.0%—99.0%—
Leinster23.6%—94.8%—
Stormers16.3%—94.3%—
Bulls15.3%—93.9%—
Sharks5.5%—77.6%—
Connacht3.8%—55.5%—
Munster3.7%—68.3%—
Edinburgh1.5%—63.3%—
Lions1.4%—43.4%—
Ulster1.1%—32.9%—
Cardiff Blues1.1%—42.4%—
Ospreys0.5%—25.9%—
Dragons0.1%—4.8%—
Benetton Treviso<0.1%—2.1%—
Scarlets<0.1%—1.7%—
Zebre<0.1%—<0.1%—
Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

Search

Jump to a tournament, a page, or a team