← Tournaments
United Rugby Championship 2027
Official siteAssume a result and see what follows from it. The figures come from the same 5,000 simulations behind the published forecast, counting only the ones that went the way you assumed — so a combination that never came up has no answer.
Nothing assumed yet — these are the published forecasts.
Assume a result
Select a winner, or a draw. Select it again to release it. Fixtures already played cannot be changed.
Round 1
Round 2
Round 3
Round 4
Round 5
Round 6
Round 7
Round 8
Round 9
Round 10
Round 11
Round 12
Round 13
Round 14
Round 15
Round 16
Round 17
Round 18
Round 19
What follows
Winning the tournament, and reaching the quarter-finals, against the same figures with nothing assumed.
| Team | Win | Change | Qualify | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leinster | 33.9% | — | 97.8% | — |
| Glasgow Warriors | 14.2% | — | 90.2% | — |
| Bulls | 13.9% | — | 88.0% | — |
| Stormers | 10.6% | — | 78.6% | — |
| Connacht | 7.9% | — | 76.0% | — |
| Lions | 5.3% | — | 64.1% | — |
| Munster | 4.8% | — | 59.9% | — |
| Sharks | 3.8% | — | 59.0% | — |
| Ulster | 2.5% | — | 52.2% | — |
| Cardiff Blues | 1.5% | — | 49.2% | — |
| Edinburgh | 0.6% | — | 31.0% | — |
| Ospreys | 0.5% | — | 25.2% | — |
| Benetton Treviso | 0.4% | — | 15.9% | — |
| Dragons | <0.1% | — | 4.9% | — |
| Scarlets | <0.1% | — | 5.9% | — |
| Zebre | <0.1% | — | 2.0% | — |