9 of 36 fixtures played. 9 of them were forecast before the match and can be scored: 7 of 9 called correctly.

Dragons v Perpignan29–14+15.026-2554%Right
Black Lion v Ospreys14–39-25.022-3476%Right
Scarlets v Newcastle Falcons47–14+33.030-2176%Right
Zebre v Ulster21–40-19.024-2967%Right
Bayonne v Cheetahs29–27+2.034-1984%Right
Castres Olympique v Benetton Treviso18–9+9.028-2171%Right
Harlequins v Vannes57–19+38.031-2175%Right
Edinburgh v Toulon17–27-10.029-2124%Wrong
Lyon v Sharks33–40-7.027-2336%Wrong

What is being scored here

The forecast each fixture had while it was still to be played, recorded at the time and never rewritten. A fixture played before that record began cannot be scored and is marked as such.

This is one tournament and a handful of matches. Model performance measures the same thing across every match on record.

78% of 9 is too small a sample to read as an accuracy rate.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

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