48 pool fixtures · 5,000 simulations · knockout ties are on the overview, in the bracket

Round 1

Gloucester Rugby
24-27average
Bordeaux Begles
35%

3% draw

62%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Gloucester Rugby wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 9 to Gloucester Rugby by 4 · median Bordeaux Begles by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.

Bath Rugby
26-23average
Montpellier Herault
53%

3% draw

44%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bath Rugby wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 6 to Bath Rugby by 11 · median Bath Rugby by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bath Rugby by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 30-29.

Bulls
26-22average
Stade Francais Paris
67%

3% draw

30%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 2 to Bulls by 12 · median Bulls by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 31-27.

Clermont Auvergne
26-25average
Leinster
52%

2% draw

46%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 7 to Clermont Auvergne by 9 · median Clermont Auvergne by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Connacht
26-22average
Saracens
63%

2% draw

34%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Saracens by 4 to Connacht by 12 · median Connacht by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 32-28.

La Rochelle
27-21average
Lions
65%

3% draw

32%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 3 to La Rochelle by 15 · median La Rochelle by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 5 is 21-16 as readily as 32-27.

Munster
26-24average
Racing 92
59%

3% draw

38%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Munster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 5 to Munster by 10 · median Munster by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.

Sale Sharks
24-26average
Glasgow Warriors
49%

2% draw

49%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sale Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 9 to Sale Sharks by 7 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 19-19 as readily as 30-30.

Stormers
30-20average
Bristol Rugby
69%

2% draw

29%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bristol Rugby by 1 to Stormers by 19 · median Stormers by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.

Northampton Saints
31-20average
Cardiff Blues
79%

2% draw

19%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Northampton Saints wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Northampton Saints by 1 to Northampton Saints by 20 · median Northampton Saints by 9

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Northampton Saints by 9 is 24-15 as readily as 35-26.

Pau
25-26average
Leicester Tigers
45%

3% draw

52%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leicester Tigers by 9 to Pau by 7 · median Leicester Tigers by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leicester Tigers by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Stade Toulousain
28-21average
Exeter Chiefs
72%

3% draw

25%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Exeter Chiefs by 1 to Stade Toulousain by 16 · median Stade Toulousain by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 33-26.

Round 2

Glasgow Warriors
29-21average
Pau
68%

2% draw

29%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 2 to Glasgow Warriors by 16 · median Glasgow Warriors by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 33-27.

Stade Francais Paris
26-23average
Northampton Saints
56%

2% draw

42%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Northampton Saints by 5 to Stade Francais Paris by 11 · median Stade Francais Paris by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.

Bristol Rugby
23-25average
Munster
48%

3% draw

49%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bristol Rugby wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 10 to Bristol Rugby by 7 · median a draw

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 19-19 as readily as 29-29.

Cardiff Blues
26-26average
Bath Rugby
47%

3% draw

50%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bath Rugby by 8 to Cardiff Blues by 7 · median Bath Rugby by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bath Rugby by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Leicester Tigers
28-21average
Clermont Auvergne
72%

3% draw

25%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leicester Tigers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 1 to Leicester Tigers by 16 · median Leicester Tigers by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leicester Tigers by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 33-27.

Leinster
32-19average
Sale Sharks
81%

3% draw

17%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 2 to Leinster by 21 · median Leinster by 10

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 10 is 25-15 as readily as 36-26.

Lions
27-24average
Stade Toulousain
50%

3% draw

47%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 6 to Lions by 10 · median Lions by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lions by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Montpellier Herault
28-21average
Bulls
62%

3% draw

35%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 3 to Montpellier Herault by 15 · median Montpellier Herault by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 32-28.

Saracens
27-21average
La Rochelle
65%

2% draw

33%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Saracens wins.

Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 3 to Saracens by 14 · median Saracens by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Saracens by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 31-27.

Bordeaux Begles
29-21average
Stormers
68%

2% draw

30%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 2 to Bordeaux Begles by 16 · median Bordeaux Begles by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 33-27.

Exeter Chiefs
26-22average
Connacht
68%

3% draw

29%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Exeter Chiefs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 2 to Exeter Chiefs by 13 · median Exeter Chiefs by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Exeter Chiefs by 5 is 21-16 as readily as 32-27.

Racing 92
30-20average
Gloucester Rugby
72%

3% draw

26%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Gloucester Rugby by 1 to Racing 92 by 18 · median Racing 92 by 7

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.

Round 3

Glasgow Warriors
26-23average
Leicester Tigers
62%

3% draw

35%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leicester Tigers by 5 to Glasgow Warriors by 11 · median Glasgow Warriors by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 31-28.

Bulls
26-22average
Bath Rugby
60%

3% draw

38%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bath Rugby by 5 to Bulls by 13 · median Bulls by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 3 is 20-17 as readily as 31-28.

Connacht
26-23average
Stade Toulousain
56%

3% draw

42%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 6 to Connacht by 11 · median Connacht by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Connacht by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.

Exeter Chiefs
27-21average
La Rochelle
69%

3% draw

29%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Exeter Chiefs wins.

Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 2 to Exeter Chiefs by 14 · median Exeter Chiefs by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Exeter Chiefs by 5 is 21-16 as readily as 31-26.

Gloucester Rugby
26-25average
Stormers
51%

2% draw

46%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Gloucester Rugby wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 7 to Gloucester Rugby by 9 · median Gloucester Rugby by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Gloucester Rugby by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.

Leinster
31-20average
Pau
76%

2% draw

22%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 1 to Leinster by 20 · median Leinster by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 34-26.

Montpellier Herault
27-23average
Northampton Saints
61%

3% draw

36%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Northampton Saints by 5 to Montpellier Herault by 12 · median Montpellier Herault by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 31-28.

Stade Francais Paris
31-19average
Cardiff Blues
73%

3% draw

24%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Stade Francais Paris by 20 · median Stade Francais Paris by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 8 is 23-15 as readily as 34-26.

Bordeaux Begles
31-20average
Munster
73%

3% draw

25%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.

Middle half of outcomes: a draw to Bordeaux Begles by 20 · median Bordeaux Begles by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 35-27.

Racing 92
29-20average
Bristol Rugby
72%

2% draw

26%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bristol Rugby by 1 to Racing 92 by 19 · median Racing 92 by 8

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 8 is 23-15 as readily as 33-25.

Sale Sharks
26-23average
Clermont Auvergne
51%

2% draw

47%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sale Sharks wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 6 to Sale Sharks by 12 · median Sale Sharks by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sale Sharks by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 30-29.

Saracens
28-21average
Lions
65%

2% draw

33%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Saracens wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 3 to Saracens by 16 · median Saracens by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Saracens by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 32-27.

Round 4

Cardiff Blues
24-26average
Montpellier Herault
40%

2% draw

58%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 9 to Cardiff Blues by 6 · median Montpellier Herault by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 31-29.

Northampton Saints
28-21average
Bulls
72%

3% draw

25%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Northampton Saints wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 1 to Northampton Saints by 16 · median Northampton Saints by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Northampton Saints by 6 is 22-16 as readily as 33-27.

Bristol Rugby
23-27average
Bordeaux Begles
39%

3% draw

59%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bristol Rugby wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 12 to Bristol Rugby by 5 · median Bordeaux Begles by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 31-28.

Clermont Auvergne
25-23average
Glasgow Warriors
52%

3% draw

46%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 6 to Clermont Auvergne by 11 · median Clermont Auvergne by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Clermont Auvergne by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 29-28.

La Rochelle
26-22average
Connacht
57%

3% draw

40%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 5 to La Rochelle by 12 · median La Rochelle by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 30-28.

Leicester Tigers
24-25average
Leinster
47%

3% draw

51%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leicester Tigers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 9 to Leicester Tigers by 7 · median Leinster by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 29-28.

Lions
27-23average
Exeter Chiefs
55%

3% draw

42%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Exeter Chiefs by 5 to Lions by 12 · median Lions by 2

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lions by 2 is 20-18 as readily as 31-29.

Munster
29-21average
Gloucester Rugby
72%

2% draw

26%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Munster wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Gloucester Rugby by 1 to Munster by 17 · median Munster by 6

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 34-28.

Pau
28-21average
Sale Sharks
63%

3% draw

34%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Sale Sharks by 3 to Pau by 15 · median Pau by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 70 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 32-28.

Stormers
26-22average
Racing 92
64%

3% draw

34%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Racing 92 by 4 to Stormers by 12 · median Stormers by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 3 is 20-17 as readily as 30-27.

Bath Rugby
25-23average
Stade Francais Paris
54%

2% draw

44%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bath Rugby wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 6 to Bath Rugby by 11 · median Bath Rugby by 1

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bath Rugby by 1 is 19-18 as readily as 29-28.

Stade Toulousain
27-21average
Saracens
63%

3% draw

34%

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Saracens by 3 to Stade Toulousain by 15 · median Stade Toulousain by 5

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 68 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 5 is 21-16 as readily as 31-26.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

Search

Jump to a tournament, a page, or a team