European Champions Cup 2027
Official site48 pool fixtures · 5,000 simulations · knockout ties are on the overview, in the bracket
Round 1
Round 2
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 2 to Glasgow Warriors by 16 · median Glasgow Warriors by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 34-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Northampton Saints by 6 to Stade Francais Paris by 10 · median Stade Francais Paris by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 31-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bristol Rugby wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 5 to Bristol Rugby by 12 · median Bristol Rugby by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bristol Rugby by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 31-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bath Rugby by 7 to Cardiff Blues by 9 · median Cardiff Blues by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Cardiff Blues by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 32-31.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leicester Tigers wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Leicester Tigers by 2 to Leicester Tigers by 21 · median Leicester Tigers by 10
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leicester Tigers by 10 is 26-16 as readily as 37-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 2 to Leinster by 22 · median Leinster by 10
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 77 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 10 is 26-16 as readily as 37-27.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 12 to Lions by 4 · median Stade Toulousain by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 4 is 23-19 as readily as 34-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 2 to Montpellier Herault by 14 · median Montpellier Herault by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 33-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Saracens wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 4 to Saracens by 13 · median Saracens by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Saracens by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 32-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 6 to Bordeaux Begles by 10 · median Bordeaux Begles by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 31-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Exeter Chiefs wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 6 to Exeter Chiefs by 10 · median Exeter Chiefs by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Exeter Chiefs by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Gloucester Rugby by 7 to Racing 92 by 9 · median Racing 92 by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
Round 3
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Glasgow Warriors wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 1 to Glasgow Warriors by 20 · median Glasgow Warriors by 9
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 9 is 25-16 as readily as 36-27.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bulls wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bath Rugby by 2 to Bulls by 15 · median Bulls by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bulls by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 34-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Connacht wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Toulousain by 9 to Connacht by 6 · median Stade Toulousain by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Exeter Chiefs wins.
Middle half of outcomes: La Rochelle by 6 to Exeter Chiefs by 10 · median Exeter Chiefs by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Exeter Chiefs by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Gloucester Rugby wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 6 to Gloucester Rugby by 10 · median Gloucester Rugby by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Gloucester Rugby by 1 is 21-20 as readily as 32-31.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leinster wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 1 to Leinster by 16 · median Leinster by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 74 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leinster by 7 is 24-17 as readily as 35-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Montpellier Herault wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Northampton Saints by 4 to Montpellier Herault by 15 · median Montpellier Herault by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 3 is 22-19 as readily as 33-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Francais Paris wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 1 to Stade Francais Paris by 18 · median Stade Francais Paris by 8
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Francais Paris by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 35-27.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bordeaux Begles wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Munster by 2 to Bordeaux Begles by 17 · median Bordeaux Begles by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bordeaux Begles by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 34-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Racing 92 wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bristol Rugby by 5 to Racing 92 by 13 · median Racing 92 by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Racing 92 by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Sale Sharks wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Clermont Auvergne by 3 to Sale Sharks by 15 · median Sale Sharks by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Sale Sharks by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 32-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Saracens wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Lions by 1 to Saracens by 17 · median Saracens by 7
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Saracens by 7 is 23-16 as readily as 34-27.
Round 4
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Cardiff Blues wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Montpellier Herault by 10 to Cardiff Blues by 6 · median Montpellier Herault by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Montpellier Herault by 2 is 22-20 as readily as 33-31.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Northampton Saints wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bulls by 2 to Northampton Saints by 17 · median Northampton Saints by 6
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Northampton Saints by 6 is 23-17 as readily as 34-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bristol Rugby wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Bordeaux Begles by 7 to Bristol Rugby by 9 · median Bristol Rugby by 1
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bristol Rugby by 1 is 20-19 as readily as 31-30.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Clermont Auvergne wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Glasgow Warriors by 14 to Clermont Auvergne by 3 · median Glasgow Warriors by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 78 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Glasgow Warriors by 4 is 23-19 as readily as 35-31.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are La Rochelle wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Connacht by 3 to La Rochelle by 15 · median La Rochelle by 5
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a La Rochelle by 5 is 22-17 as readily as 33-28.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leicester Tigers wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Leinster by 7 to Leicester Tigers by 10 · median a draw
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a a draw is 20-20 as readily as 31-31.
2% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Lions wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Exeter Chiefs by 6 to Lions by 9 · median Lions by 2
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Lions by 2 is 21-19 as readily as 32-30.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Munster wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Gloucester Rugby by 4 to Munster by 13 · median Munster by 4
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 73 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Munster by 4 is 22-18 as readily as 32-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Pau wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Pau by 1 to Pau by 20 · median Pau by 8
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 33 and 76 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Pau by 8 is 25-17 as readily as 36-28.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stormers wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stormers by 1 to Stormers by 22 · median Stormers by 10
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 32 and 75 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stormers by 10 is 26-16 as readily as 37-27.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bath Rugby wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Stade Francais Paris by 5 to Bath Rugby by 12 · median Bath Rugby by 3
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bath Rugby by 3 is 21-18 as readily as 32-29.
3% draw
Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Stade Toulousain wins.
Middle half of outcomes: Saracens by 1 to Stade Toulousain by 19 · median Stade Toulousain by 8
These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 31 and 72 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Stade Toulousain by 8 is 24-16 as readily as 35-27.