12 of 48 fixtures played. 12 of them were forecast before the match and can be scored: 10 of 12 called correctly.

Bulls v Stade Francais Paris56–20+36.031-2176%Right
Clermont Auvergne v Leinster23–48-25.025-2756%Right
Connacht v Saracens45–36+9.027-2557%Right
La Rochelle v Lions31–14+17.029-2269%Right
Munster v Racing 9233–25+8.030-2268%Right
Sale Sharks v Glasgow Warriors27–47-20.026-2650%Right
Stormers v Bristol Rugby49–12+37.028-2265%Right
Northampton Saints v Cardiff Blues28–12+16.032-2078%Right
Pau v Leicester Tigers41–17+24.027-2456%Right
Stade Toulousain v Exeter Chiefs43–40+3.033-1986%Right
Gloucester Rugby v Bordeaux Begles36–36drawn28-232%Wrong
Bath Rugby v Montpellier Herault14–32-18.028-2332%Wrong

What is being scored here

The forecast each fixture had while it was still to be played, recorded at the time and never rewritten. A fixture played before that record began cannot be scored and is marked as such.

This is one tournament and a handful of matches. Model performance measures the same thing across every match on record.

83% of 12 is too small a sample to read as an accuracy rate.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

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