European Champions Cup 2027

Assume a result and see what follows from it. The figures come from the same 5,000 simulations behind the published forecast, counting only the ones that went the way you assumed — so a combination that never came up has no answer.

Nothing assumed yet — these are the published forecasts.

Assume a result

Select a winner, or a draw. Select it again to release it. Fixtures already played cannot be changed.

Round 1

played

Round 2

Round 3

Round 4

What follows

Winning the tournament, and reaching the round of 16, against the same figures with nothing assumed.

Team	Win	Change	Qualify	Change
Leinster	14.4%	—	98.4%	—
Montpellier Herault	11.8%	—	93.9%	—
Stade Toulousain	11.8%	—	94.6%	—
Glasgow Warriors	11.7%	—	98.2%	—
Stormers	8.3%	—	94.8%	—
Northampton Saints	7.9%	—	87.9%	—
Bulls	7.0%	—	88.1%	—
La Rochelle	4.8%	—	88.7%	—
Bordeaux Begles	4.0%	—	75.4%	—
Pau	3.8%	—	91.0%	—
Saracens	2.3%	—	57.1%	—
Connacht	2.2%	—	76.1%	—
Munster	2.0%	—	80.9%	—
Gloucester Rugby	1.7%	—	58.8%	—
Bath Rugby	1.1%	—	42.3%	—
Stade Francais Paris	1.1%	—	59.9%	—
Bristol Rugby	1.0%	—	51.3%	—
Leicester Tigers	0.8%	—	51.2%	—
Exeter Chiefs	0.8%	—	60.6%	—
Racing 92	0.7%	—	43.5%	—
Lions	0.4%	—	33.7%	—
Cardiff Blues	0.1%	—	31.0%	—
Sale Sharks	0.1%	—	23.6%	—
Clermont Auvergne	<0.1%	—	19.1%	—