Wales v Ireland
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
23 – 29
20 February 1999Wembley Stadium, London · neutral venue
What the model says about Wales v Ireland
- Kick-off
- 15:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 46 m
- Temperature
- 6.7 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.1 mm
- Wind
- 19 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 11 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Wales
- 1Darren Morris
- 2Barry Williams
- 3Dai Young
- 4Craig Quinnell
- 5Chris Wyatt-10.8
- 6Colin Charvis-5.3
- 7Martyn Williams+5.7
- 8Scott Quinnell
- 9Rob Howley(c)
- 10Neil Jenkins
- 11Dafydd James-9.4
- 12Scott Gibbs
- 13Mark Taylor+1.1
- 14Matthew Robinson
- 15Shane Howarth
Replacements
- 16Mike Voyle
- 17Garin Jenkins
- 18Chris Anthony
- 19Andrew Lewis
- 20Kevin Morgan+4.7
- 21Leigh Davies
- 22David Llewellyn
Ireland
- 1Peter Clohessy
- 2Keith Wood+3.6
- 3Paul Wallace
- 4Paddy Johns(c)
- 5Jeremy Davidson
- 6Dion O'Cuinneagain
- 7Andy Ward
- 8Eric Miller-2.2
- 9Conor McGuinness
- 10David Humphreys
- 11Niall Woods
- 12Jonathan Bell
- 13Kevin Maggs
- 14Justin Bishop
- 15Conor O'Shea
Replacements
- 16Justin Fitzpatrick-4.2
- 17Victor Costello-4.5
- 18Mick Galwey
- 19Ciaran Scally
- 20Eric Elwood
- 21Rob Henderson-2.2
- 22Ross Nesdale
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.