South Africa v New Zealand
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
18 – 34
7 August 1999Loftus Versfeld, Pretoria
What the model says about South Africa v New Zealand
- Kick-off
- 15:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 1354 m
- Temperature
- 13.2 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 15 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 10 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
South Africa
- 1Os du Randt+3.9
- 2Naka Drotske
- 3Cobus Visagie
- 4Selborne Boome
- 5Albert van den Berg-6.0
- 6Ruben Kruger
- 7Andre Venter
- 8Johan Erasmus
- 9Joost van der Westhuizen(c)
- 10Gaffie du Toit
- 11Pieter Rossouw
- 12Franco Smith
- 13Andre Snyman
- 14Deon Kayser
- 15Percy Montgomery+0.2
Replacements
- 16Robbie Fleck
- 17Andre Vos
- 18Ollie le Roux
- 19Mark Andrews
- 20Chris Rossouw
- 21Stefan Terblanche-3.6
- 22Werner Swanepoel
New Zealand
- 1Greg Feek
- 2Anton Oliver-0.3
- 3Kees Meeuws+2.5
- 4Norm Maxwell
- 5Robin Brooke
- 6Andrew Blowers
- 7Josh Kronfeld
- 8Taine Randell(c)
- 9Justin Marshall
- 10Andrew Mehrtens-8.3
- 11Tana Umaga-18.3
- 12Daryl Gibson
- 13Alama Ieremia
- 14Christian Cullen
- 15Jeff Wilson
Replacements
- 16Jonah Lomu
- 17Craig Dowd
- 18Mark Hammett
- 19Reuben Thorne+4.5
- 20Royce Willis
- 21Tony Brown
- 22Byron Kelleher-16.4
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.