Wales v Argentina
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
23 – 18
1 October 1999Principality Stadium, Cardiff
What the model says about Wales v Argentina
- Kick-off
- 13:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 9 m
- Temperature
- 13.2 °C
- Rainfall
- 5.8 mm
- Wind
- 42 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 7 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Wales
- 1Peter Rogers
- 2Garin Jenkins
- 3Dai Young
- 4Craig Quinnell
- 5Chris Wyatt-10.8
- 6Colin Charvis-5.3
- 7Brett Sinkinson
- 8Scott Quinnell
- 9Rob Howley(c)
- 10Neil Jenkins
- 11Dafydd James-9.4
- 12Scott Gibbs
- 13Mark Taylor+1.1
- 14Gareth Thomas+5.9
- 15Shane Howarth
Replacements
- 16Jason Jones-Hughes
- 17Stephen Jones+0.2
- 18David Llewellyn
- 19Mike Voyle
- 20Andrew Lewis
- 21Ben Evans
- 22Jonathan Humphreys
Argentina
- 1Roberto Grau
- 2Mario Ledesma Arocena
- 3Mauricio Reggiardo
- 4Ignacio Fernandez Lobbe
- 5Alejandro Allub
- 6Lucas Ostiglia
- 7Santiago Phelan
- 8Gonzalo Longo Elia
- 9Agustin Pichot
- 10Gonzalo Quesada
- 11Diego Albanese
- 12Lisandro Arbizu(c)
- 13Eduardo Simone
- 14Octavio Bartolucci
- 15Manuel Contepomi
Replacements
- 16Rolando Martin
- 17Omar Hasan Jalil
- 18Gonzalo Camardon
- 19Felipe Contepomi-2.0
- 20Nicolas Fernandez Miranda
- 21Agustin Canalda
- 22Raul Perez
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.