Wales v France
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
3 – 36
5 February 2000Principality Stadium, Cardiff
What the model says about Wales v France
- Kick-off
- 16:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 9 m
- Temperature
- 8.3 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 22 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 18 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Wales
- 1Peter Rogers
- 2Garin Jenkins
- 3Dai Young(c)
- 4Ian Gough-3.3
- 5Chris Wyatt-10.8
- 6Colin Charvis-5.3
- 7Brett Sinkinson
- 8Scott Quinnell
- 9Rob Howley
- 10Neil Jenkins
- 11Dafydd James-9.4
- 12Jason Jones-Hughes
- 13Mark Taylor+1.1
- 14Gareth Thomas+5.9
- 15Shane Howarth
Replacements
- 16Geraint Lewis
- 17Mike Voyle
- 18Spencer John
- 19Shane Williams+3.6
- 20Richard Smith
- 21Barry Williams
- 22Stephen Jones+0.2
France
- 1Christian Califano-10.0
- 2Marc dal Maso
- 3Franck Tournaire
- 4Olivier Brouzet
- 5Legi Matiu
- 6Abdelatif Benazzi
- 7Olivier Magne+10.5
- 8Fabien Pelous(c)+1.3
- 9Fabien Galthie+6.5
- 10Christophe Lamaison
- 11Christophe Dominici-5.2
- 12Thomas Lombard
- 13Richard Dourthe
- 14Emile Ntamack
- 15Thomas Castaignede-2.7
Replacements
- 16David Venditti
- 17Thomas Lievremont-3.7
- 18Pieter de Villiers-5.0
- 19Raphael Ibanez-4.5
- 20Serge Betsen Tchoua+7.0
- 21Alain Penaud
- 22Christophe Laussucq
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.