Scotland v England
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
19 – 13
2 April 2000Scottish Gas Murrayfield, Edinburgh
What the model says about Scotland v England
- Kick-off
- 13:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 49 m
- Temperature
- 3.4 °C
- Rainfall
- 5.8 mm
- Wind
- 35 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 13 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Scotland
- 1Tom Smith
- 2Steve Brotherstone
- 3Mattie Stewart
- 4Scott Murray
- 5Richard Metcalfe
- 6Jason White+12.3
- 7Budge Pountney
- 8Martin Leslie
- 9Andy Nicol(c)
- 10Duncan Hodge
- 11Glenn Metcalfe
- 12James McLaren
- 13Gregor Townsend
- 14Craig Moir
- 15Chris Paterson+1.8
Replacements
- 16Bryan Redpath
- 17Gordon McIlwham
- 18Stuart Grimes
- 19Stuart Reid
- 20Graham Shiel
- 21Gavin Scott
- 22Alan Bulloch
England
- 1Jason Leonard
- 2Phil Greening
- 3Phil Vickery+2.7
- 4Garath Archer
- 5Simon Shaw-2.6
- 6Richard Hill
- 7Neil Back
- 8Lawrence Dallaglio+8.7
- 9Matt Dawson(c)
- 10Jonny Wilkinson+7.0
- 11Ben Cohen
- 12Mike Catt+2.3
- 13Mike Tindall+3.5
- 14Austin Healey
- 15Matt Perry
Replacements
- 16Iain Balshaw+8.5
- 17Martin Corry-6.2
- 18Joe Worsley+4.0
- 19Neil McCarthy
- 20Trevor Woodman-0.3
- 21Andy Gomarsall+2.7
- 22Alex King
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.