England v France
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
48 – 19
7 April 2001Allianz Stadium, London
What the model says about England v France
- Kick-off
- 13:30 UTC
- Elevation
- 7 m
- Temperature
- 7.4 °C
- Rainfall
- 1.8 mm
- Wind
- 26 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 22 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
England
- 1Jason Leonard
- 2Phil Greening
- 3Julian White-1.4
- 4Martin Johnson(c)+2.1
- 5Steve Borthwick-11.3
- 6Richard Hill
- 7Neil Back
- 8Lawrence Dallaglio+8.7
- 9Matt Dawson
- 10Jonny Wilkinson+7.0
- 11Ben Cohen
- 12Mike Catt+2.3
- 13Will Greenwood
- 14Austin Healey
- 15Iain Balshaw+8.5
Replacements
- 16Dorian West
- 17Martin Corry-6.2
- 18David Flatman
- 19Jason Robinson+5.5
- 20Joe Worsley+4.0
- 21Matt Perry
- 22Kyran Bracken-1.7
France
- 1Sylvain Marconnet+0.2
- 2Raphael Ibanez-4.5
- 3Pieter de Villiers-5.0
- 4Lionel Nallet-5.4
- 5Abdelatif Benazzi
- 6Christophe Milheres
- 7Olivier Magne+10.5
- 8Fabien Pelous(c)+1.3
- 9Fabien Galthie+6.5
- 10Gerald Merceron
- 11Christophe Dominici-5.2
- 12Xavier Garbajosa-2.6
- 13Stephane Glas
- 14Philippe Bernat-Salles
- 15Jean-Luc Sadourny
Replacements
- 16David Auradou-6.7
- 17Thomas Lievremont-3.7
- 18Fabrice Landreau
- 19Alessio Galasso
- 20Philippe Carbonneau
- 21David Skrela
- 22Thomas Lombard
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.