France v England
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
20 – 15
2 March 2002Stade de France, Saint-Denis
What the model says about France v England
- Kick-off
- 13:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 33 m
- Temperature
- 3.4 °C
- Rainfall
- 3.5 mm
- Wind
- 22 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 26 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
France
- 1Jean-Jacques Crenca
- 2Raphael Ibanez-4.5
- 3Pieter de Villiers-5.0
- 4David Auradou-6.7
- 5Olivier Brouzet
- 6Serge Betsen Tchoua+7.0
- 7Olivier Magne+10.5
- 8Imanol Harinordoquy+0.6
- 9Fabien Galthie(c)+6.5
- 10Gerald Merceron
- 11David Bory
- 12Damien Traille+3.1
- 13Tony Marsh
- 14Aurelien Rougerie-0.2
- 15Nicolas Brusque+1.9
Replacements
- 16Remy Martin
- 17Fabien Pelous+1.3
- 18Olivier Milloud-7.6
- 19Pierre Mignoni-1.1
- 20Olivier Azam
- 21Francois Gelez
- 22Jimmy Marlu
England
- 1Graham Rowntree+1.5
- 2Steve Thompson+3.2
- 3Phil Vickery+2.7
- 4Martin Johnson(c)+2.1
- 5Ben Kay+9.1
- 6Richard Hill
- 7Neil Back
- 8Joe Worsley+4.0
- 9Kyran Bracken-1.7
- 10Jonny Wilkinson+7.0
- 11Ben Cohen
- 12Mike Tindall+3.5
- 13Will Greenwood
- 14Austin Healey
- 15Jason Robinson+5.5
Replacements
- 16Henry Paul
- 17Martin Corry-6.2
- 18Jason Leonard
- 19Dan Luger-5.9
- 20Danny Grewcock+4.0
- 21Dorian West
- 22Nick Duncombe
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.