Australia v Argentina
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
14 – 13
14 September 2013Patersons Stadium, Perth (WA)
What the model says about Australia v Argentina
- Kick-off
- 10:05 UTC
- Elevation
- 33 m
- Temperature
- 13.2 °C
- Rainfall
- 6.8 mm
- Wind
- 48 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 29 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Australia
- 1James Slipper-3.3
- 2Stephen Moore+5.5
- 3Ben Alexander-3.4
- 4Rob Simmons-1.5
- 5Kane Douglas-3.4
- 6Scott Fardy
- 7Michael Hooper+1.0
- 8Ben Mowen(c)
- 9Nic White-2.5
- 10Quade Cooper+4.9
- 11Nick Cummins
- 12Christian Leali'ifano
- 13Adam Ashley-Cooper-2.1
- 14James O'Connor-0.2
- 15Israel Folau
Replacements
- 16Saia Fainga'a-3.7
- 17Scott Sio+1.4
- 18Sekope Kepu+3.0
- 19Sitaleki Timani
- 20Ben McCalman+5.9
- 21Will Genia+2.0
- 22Matt To'omua-5.6
- 23Tevita Kuridrani+5.8
Argentina
- 1Marcos Ayerza+10.6
- 2Agustin Creevy+2.4
- 3Juan Figallo-4.0
- 4Manuel Carizza-12.9
- 5Julio Farias Cabello
- 6Juan Martin Fernandez Lobbe(c)
- 7Pablo Matera-1.1
- 8Juan Manuel Leguizamon+1.3
- 9Tomas Cubelli+7.3
- 10Nicolas Sanchez+2.9
- 11Juan Imhoff+8.0
- 12Felipe Contepomi-2.0
- 13Gonzalo Tiesi
- 14Horacio Agulla
- 15Juan Martin Hernandez+0.3
Replacements
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Scoring
| Australia | Measure | Argentina |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tries | 1 |
| — | Conversions | 1 |
| 3 | Penalty goals | 2 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.