New Zealand v Romania
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
85 – 8
29 September 2007Stade Toulouse, Toulouse · neutral venue
What the model says about New Zealand v Romania
- Kick-off
- 11:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 140 m
- Temperature
- 15.4 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 19 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 13 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
New Zealand
- 1Neemia Tialata+7.7
- 2Keven Mealamu+2.6
- 3Greg Somerville+6.5
- 4Reuben Thorne+4.5
- 5Keith Robinson
- 6Jerry Collins(c)
- 7Chris Masoe
- 8Sione Lauaki
- 9Andrew Ellis
- 10Luke McAlister
- 11Sitiveni Sivivatu-9.3
- 12Aaron Mauger-5.1
- 13Isaia Toeava+11.9
- 14Joe Rokocoko-9.0
- 15Nick Evans
Replacements
- 16Andrew Hore-5.4
- 17Tony Woodcock+5.2
- 18Chris Jack
- 19Richie McCaw+1.0
- 20Brendon Leonard
- 21Doug Howlett-3.2
- 22Conrad Smith+4.0
Romania
- 1Bogdan Balan
- 2Marius Tincu
- 3Silviu Florea
- 4Sorin Socol(c)
- 5Cristian Petre
- 6Florin Corodeanu
- 7Alex Manta
- 8Ovidiu Tonita
- 9Lucian Sirbu
- 10Ionut Dimofte
- 11Gabriel Brezoianu
- 12Romeo Gontineac
- 13Csaba Gal
- 14Stefan Ciuntu
- 15Iulian Dumitras
Replacements
- 16Razvan Mavrodin
- 17Paulica Ion
- 18Valentin Ursache
- 19Cosmin Ratiu
- 20Valentin Calafeteanu
- 21Florin Vlaicu
- 22Catalin Dascalu
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| New Zealand | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 55.0% | Possession | 45.0% |
| 58.0% | Territory | 42.0% |
Attack
| New Zealand | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 1149m | Carry metres | 182m |
| 34 | Defenders beaten | 3 |
| 28 | Offloads | 9 |
| 141 | Passes | 62 |
Defence
| New Zealand | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 87 | Tackles made | 83 |
| 3 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 31 |
| 2 | Turnovers won | 4 |
Set pieces
| New Zealand | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 92.3% | Lineout success | 88.9% |
| 12 | Lineouts won | 8 |
| 9 | Scrums won | 6 |
Breakdown
| New Zealand | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 59 | Rucks won | 60 |
| 6 | Mauls won | 4 |
Discipline
| New Zealand | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 6 |
| 7 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 5 |
Scoring
| New Zealand | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Tries | 1 |
| 10 | Conversions | — |
| — | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.