South Africa v Namibia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
87 – 0
22 September 2011North Harbour Stadium, Albany · neutral venue
What the model says about South Africa v Namibia
- Kick-off
- 08:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 29 m
- Temperature
- 12.4 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.9 mm
- Wind
- 13 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 21 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
South Africa
- 1Gurthro Steenkamp+1.9
- 2John Smit(c)+6.0
- 3CJ van der Linde-5.3
- 4Bakkies Botha+8.0
- 5Danie Rossouw+0.7
- 6Willem Alberts+10.1
- 7Schalk Burger+6.0
- 8Pierre Spies-4.0
- 9Francois Hougaard-2.5
- 10Morne Steyn-3.6
- 11Bryan Habana+1.1
- 12Francois Steyn+7.8
- 13Jaque Fourie+6.3
- 14Gio Aplon
- 15Patrick Lambie+6.5
Replacements
- 16Chiliboy Ralepelle-1.3
- 17Tendai Mtawarira+6.9
- 18Francois Louw+9.7
- 19Heinrich Brussow+4.9
- 20Fourie du Preez+10.4
- 21Ruan Pienaar+0.0
- 22Juan de Jongh-2.5
Namibia
- 1Johnny Redelinghuys
- 2Bertus O'Callaghan
- 3Marius Visser
- 4Heinz Koll
- 5Nico Esterhuyse
- 6Tinus du Plessis
- 7Jacques Burger(c)
- 8Jacques Nieuwenhuis
- 9Eugene Jantjies
- 10Theuns Kotze
- 11Heini Bock
- 12Piet van Zyl
- 13Danie van Wyk
- 14Danie Dames
- 15Chrysander Botha
Replacements
- 16Hugo Horn
- 17Jane du Toit
- 18PJ van Lill
- 19Rohan Kitshoff
- 20Ryan de la Harpe
- 21Darryl De La Harpe
- 22Conrad Marais
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| South Africa | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 61.0% | Possession | 39.0% |
| 65.0% | Territory | 35.0% |
Attack
| South Africa | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 927m | Carry metres | 218m |
| 34 | Defenders beaten | 9 |
| 171 | Passes | 92 |
Defence
| South Africa | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 64 | Tackles made | 99 |
| 9 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 34 |
Set pieces
| South Africa | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 87.5% | Lineout success | 66.7% |
| 14 | Lineouts won | 8 |
| 42 | Scrums won | 48 |
Breakdown
| South Africa | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 72 | Rucks won | 47 |
| 8 | Mauls won | 1 |
Discipline
| South Africa | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 15 |
| 12 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 7 |
Scoring
| South Africa | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tries | — |
| 12 | Conversions | — |
| 1 | Penalty goals | — |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.