Argentina v Namibia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
64 – 19
11 October 2015Leicester City Stadium, Leicester · neutral venue
What the model says about Argentina v Namibia
- Kick-off
- 11:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 56 m
- Temperature
- 10.7 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 18 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 13 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Argentina
- 1Lucas Noguera Paz
- 2Julián Montoya
- 3Juan Pablo Orlandi
- 4Guido Petti-1.9
- 5Matías Alemanno+1.7
- 6Pablo Matera-1.1
- 7Javier Ortega Desio
- 8Facundo Isa+1.6
- 9Martin Landajo(c)
- 10Juan Martin Hernandez+0.3
- 11Horacio Agulla
- 12Juan Pablo Socino
- 13Santiago Gonzalez Iglesias-5.1
- 14Matías Moroni-12.4
- 15Lucas Gonzalez Amorosino
Replacements
- 16Agustin Creevy+2.4
- 17Marcos Ayerza+10.6
- 18Ramiro Herrera-3.7
- 19Leonardo Senatore+4.8
- 20Juan Martin Fernandez Lobbe
- 21Tomas Cubelli+7.3
- 22Marcelo Bosch
- 23Juan Imhoff+8.0
Namibia
- 1Jaco Engels
- 2Torsten van Jaarsveld
- 3Aranos Coetzee
- 4Janco Venter
- 5Tjiuee Uanivi
- 6Rohan Kitshoff(c)
- 7Wian Conradie
- 8Leneve Damens
- 9Damian Stevens
- 10Theuns Kotze
- 11Conrad Marais
- 12Johan Deysel
- 13JC Greyling
- 14Johan Tromp
- 15Chrysander Botha
Replacements
- 16Louis van der Westhuizen
- 17Johnny Redelinghuys
- 18AJ de Klerk
- 19PJ van Lill
- 20Tinus du Plessis
- 21Russell van Wyk
- 22Eugene Jantjies
- 23Heinrich Smit
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Argentina | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 62.0% | Possession | 38.0% |
| 66.0% | Territory | 34.0% |
Attack
| Argentina | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 1015m | Carry metres | 316m |
| 18 | Clean breaks | 6 |
| 59 | Defenders beaten | 7 |
| 17 | Offloads | 7 |
| 233 | Passes | 87 |
Defence
| Argentina | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 71 | Tackles made | 160 |
| 91.0% | Tackle success | 73.0% |
| 7 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 59 |
| 8 | Turnovers won | 6 |
Set pieces
| Argentina | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 87.5% | Lineout success | — |
| 7 | Lineouts won | 11 |
| 6 | Scrums won | 7 |
Breakdown
| Argentina | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 96 | Rucks won | 44 |
| 4 | Mauls won | 3 |
Kicking
| Argentina | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kicks from hand | 22 |
| 306m | Kick metres | 185m |
Discipline
| Argentina | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 2 |
| 13 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 13 |
Scoring
| Argentina | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tries | 3 |
| 8 | Conversions | 2 |
| 1 | Penalty goals | — |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.