Team profiles

Connacht

Five years of results, read from this team's own point of view.

Rating

61

Strong — top 24% · Glicko-2 1752 ±92

Record

57-0-59

49.1% of 116 matches in the last five years

Average margin

+0.6

25.9 for, 25.3 against

Home advantage

+16.2

Points per match better at home

Attack

+2%

25.9 scored per match, against the placed field's average

Defence

+5%

25.3 conceded per match; positive is fewer than average

The Westerners
Head coach
Stuart Lancaster
Captain
Cian Prendergast
Founded
1885
League
United Rugby Championship
Ground
Galway Greyhound Stadium
Capacity
12,000
Based in
Galway, Ireland

From Wikipedia, read 2026-08-20. Not an input to any forecast — the rating does not know who is coaching.

Recent results

Newest first, from Connacht's own point of view. Home and away are as the record stores them; a fixture the record does not mark neutral is listed as one side's home, which is right for a league round and wrong for a final played at a third ground.

Shape
Matches decided by seven or fewer39%
Matches totalling 50 or more54%
Margin swing19.0 points
Last five, most recent firstlostwonwonlostwonL1

Biggest win: 75-14 v US Montauban

Heaviest defeat: 8-56 v Edinburgh

Where they stand (of 59 ranked teams)
Rating61
37Q1 47Med 53Q3 6168

Strong — top 24%

Box is the middle half of the ranked field, line is the median, dot is Connacht. The scale is this domain's own and does not compare across the two.

Most similar teams

Teams that play alike sit close together. The two axes hold 68% of the variation between teams. Component 1 (45%) rises with more average margin and win rate. Component 2 (23%) rises with more high-scoring matches, less close matches.

58 of 82 teams sit too close together to name without covering another team's point, so they are drawn unlabelled. Every dot is still a link to that team, and its name is in the tooltip.

  1. 1Sharks0.08
  2. 2Racing 920.17
  3. 3Lyon0.22
  4. 4Lions0.29
  5. 5Otago0.33

Distance in the projection above, nearest first.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

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