Team profiles

Newcastle Falcons

Five years of results, read from this team's own point of view.

Rating

38

Below average — bottom 3% · Glicko-2 1174 ±106

Record

22-1-92

19.1% of 115 matches in the last five years

Average margin

-16.7

17.5 for, 34.2 against

Home advantage

+8.7

Points per match better at home

Attack

-31%

17.5 scored per match, against the placed field's average

Defence

-29%

34.2 conceded per match; positive is fewer than average

About the team
Head coach
Stephen Jones
Captain
George McGuigan
Founded
1877
League
Premiership Rugby
Ground
Kingston Park
Capacity
10,200
Based in
Newcastle upon Tyne, Tyne and Wear, England

From Wikipedia, read 2026-08-20. Not an input to any forecast — the rating does not know who is coaching.

Recent results

Newest first, from Newcastle Falcons's own point of view. Home and away are as the record stores them; a fixture the record does not mark neutral is listed as one side's home, which is right for a league round and wrong for a final played at a third ground.

Shape
Matches decided by seven or fewer28%
Matches totalling 50 or more56%
Margin swing19.0 points
Last five, most recent firstlostwonlostlostlostL1

Biggest win: 45-10 v Worcester Warriors

Heaviest defeat: 14-85 v Bristol Rugby

Where they stand (of 59 ranked teams)
Rating38
37Q1 47Med 53Q3 6168

Below average — bottom 3%

Box is the middle half of the ranked field, line is the median, dot is Newcastle Falcons. The scale is this domain's own and does not compare across the two.

Most similar teams

Teams that play alike sit close together. The two axes hold 68% of the variation between teams. Component 1 (45%) rises with more average margin and win rate. Component 2 (23%) rises with more high-scoring matches, less close matches.

58 of 82 teams sit too close together to name without covering another team's point, so they are drawn unlabelled. Every dot is still a link to that team, and its name is in the tooltip.

  1. 1Southland0.66
  2. 2Biarritz Olympique0.99
  3. 3Fijian Drua1.17
  4. 4Black Lion1.27
  5. 5Worcester Warriors1.32

Distance in the projection above, nearest first.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

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