Rating
48
Average — 41st percentile · Glicko-2 1582 ±96
Record
64-3-56
52.0% of 123 matches in the last five years
Average margin
+0.9
25.5 for, 24.7 against
Home advantage
+14.1
Points per match better at home
Attack
-1%
25.5 scored per match, against the placed field's average
Defence
+4%
24.7 conceded per match; positive is fewer than average
- Head coach
- Richie Murphy
- Captain
- Iain Henderson
- Founded
- 1879
- League
- United Rugby Championship
- Ground
- Ravenhill Stadium
- Capacity
- 18,196
- Based in
- Belfast, Northern Ireland
From Wikipedia, read 2026-10-19. Not an input to any forecast — the rating does not know who is coaching.
Zebre2026-10-17 · away40–21won
Munster2026-10-10 · home26–26drew
Glasgow Warriors2026-10-03 · away33–33drew
Edinburgh2026-09-25 · home29–34lost
Montpellier Herault2026-05-22 · away26–59lost
Newest first, from Ulster's own point of view. Home and away are as the record stores them; a fixture the record does not mark neutral is listed as one side's home, which is right for a league round and wrong for a final played at a third ground.
Biggest win: 61-7 v Racing 92
Heaviest defeat: 21-61 v Stade Toulousain
Average — 41st percentile
Box is the middle half of the ranked field, line is the median, dot is Ulster. The scale is this domain's own and does not compare across the two.
Teams that play alike sit close together. The two axes hold 72% of the variation between teams. Component 1 (46%) rises with more average margin and win rate. Component 2 (25%) rises with more high-scoring matches and margin swing.
52 of 84 teams sit too close together to name without covering another team's point, so they are drawn unlabelled. Every dot is still a link to that team, and hovering one names it.
- 1Montpellier Herault0.48
- 2Stade Francais Paris0.52
- 3Edinburgh0.52
- 4Castres Olympique0.68
- 5La Rochelle0.74
Distance in the projection above, nearest first.