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Ospreys

Five years of results, read from this team's own point of view.

Rating

47

Average — 39th percentile · Glicko-2 1567 ±101

Record

51-5-60

44.0% of 116 matches in the last five years

Average margin

-3.0

23.1 for, 26.1 against

Home advantage

+16.3

Points per match better at home

Attack

-10%

23.1 scored per match, against the placed field's average

Defence

-1%

26.1 conceded per match; positive is fewer than average

About the team
Head coach
Mark Jones
Captain
Sam Parry
Founded
2003
League
United Rugby Championship
Ground
Brewery Field (2025-2026)
Capacity
8,000
Based in
Swansea, Wales

From Wikipedia, read 2026-10-19. Not an input to any forecast — the rating does not know who is coaching.

Recent results

Newest first, from Ospreys's own point of view. Home and away are as the record stores them; a fixture the record does not mark neutral is listed as one side's home, which is right for a league round and wrong for a final played at a third ground.

Shape
Matches decided by seven or fewer41%
Matches totalling 50 or more44%
Margin swing17.2 points
Last five, most recent firstwonwonlostlostlostW2

Biggest win: 43-0 v Benetton Treviso

Heaviest defeat: 3-58 v Munster

Where they stand (of 41 ranked teams)
Rating47
17Q1 42Med 52Q3 6171

Average — 39th percentile

Box is the middle half of the ranked field, line is the median, dot is Ospreys. The scale is this domain's own and does not compare across the two.

Most similar teams
Teams with too few matches to rate confidently, which are most of the outliers.

Teams that play alike sit close together. The two axes hold 72% of the variation between teams. Component 1 (46%) rises with more average margin and win rate. Component 2 (25%) rises with more high-scoring matches and margin swing.

51 of 84 teams sit too close together to name without covering another team's point, so they are drawn unlabelled. Every dot is still a link to that team, and hovering one names it.

  1. 1Castres Olympique0.37
  2. 2Cardiff Blues0.41
  3. 3Stade Francais Paris0.63
  4. 4Wasps0.73
  5. 5Ulster0.99

Distance in the projection above, nearest first.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

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