Team profiles

Ospreys

Five years of results, read from this team's own point of view.

Rating

50

Average — 37th percentile · Glicko-2 1470 ±94

Record

49-5-58

43.8% of 112 matches in the last five years

Average margin

-3.4

22.6 for, 26.1 against

Home advantage

+15.9

Points per match better at home

Attack

-11%

22.6 scored per match, against the placed field's average

Defence

+2%

26.1 conceded per match; positive is fewer than average

About the team
Head coach
Mark Jones
Captain
Jac Morgan
Founded
2003
League
United Rugby Championship
Ground
Brewery Field (2025-2026)
Capacity
8,000
Based in
Swansea, Wales

From Wikipedia, read 2026-08-20. Not an input to any forecast — the rating does not know who is coaching.

Recent results

Newest first, from Ospreys's own point of view. Home and away are as the record stores them; a fixture the record does not mark neutral is listed as one side's home, which is right for a league round and wrong for a final played at a third ground.

Shape
Matches decided by seven or fewer43%
Matches totalling 50 or more43%
Margin swing17.1 points
Last five, most recent firstlostwonlostwonlostL1

Biggest win: 43-0 v Benetton Treviso

Heaviest defeat: 3-58 v Munster

Where they stand (of 59 ranked teams)
Rating50
37Q1 47Med 53Q3 6168

Average — 37th percentile

Box is the middle half of the ranked field, line is the median, dot is Ospreys. The scale is this domain's own and does not compare across the two.

Most similar teams

Teams that play alike sit close together. The two axes hold 68% of the variation between teams. Component 1 (45%) rises with more average margin and win rate. Component 2 (23%) rises with more high-scoring matches, less close matches.

58 of 82 teams sit too close together to name without covering another team's point, so they are drawn unlabelled. Every dot is still a link to that team, and its name is in the tooltip.

  1. 1Castres Olympique0.34
  2. 2Cardiff Blues0.38
  3. 3Stade Francais Paris0.62
  4. 4Wasps0.68
  5. 5Pau0.84

Distance in the projection above, nearest first.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

Search

Jump to a tournament, a page, or a team