France v England
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
9 – 15
19 February 2000Stade de France, Saint-Denis
What the model says about France v England
- Kick-off
- 14:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 33 m
- Temperature
- 6.5 °C
- Rainfall
- 2.6 mm
- Wind
- 26 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 21 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
France
- 1Christian Califano-10.0
- 2Marc dal Maso
- 3Franck Tournaire
- 4Legi Matiu
- 5Olivier Brouzet
- 6Abdelatif Benazzi
- 7Olivier Magne+10.5
- 8Fabien Pelous(c)+1.3
- 9Fabien Galthie+6.5
- 10Thomas Castaignede-2.7
- 11Christophe Dominici-5.2
- 12Thomas Lombard
- 13David Venditti
- 14Emile Ntamack
- 15Richard Dourthe
Replacements
- 16Thomas Lievremont-3.7
- 17Serge Betsen Tchoua+7.0
- 18Pieter de Villiers-5.0
- 19Raphael Ibanez-4.5
- 20Christophe Laussucq
- 21Stephane Glas
- 22Cedric Desbrosse
England
- 1Jason Leonard
- 2Phil Greening
- 3Phil Vickery+2.7
- 4Garath Archer
- 5Simon Shaw-2.6
- 6Richard Hill
- 7Neil Back
- 8Lawrence Dallaglio+8.7
- 9Matt Dawson(c)
- 10Jonny Wilkinson+7.0
- 11Ben Cohen
- 12Mike Catt+2.3
- 13Mike Tindall+3.5
- 14Austin Healey
- 15Matt Perry
Replacements
- 16Neil McCarthy
- 17Andy Gomarsall+2.7
- 18Alex King
- 19Martin Corry-6.2
- 20Joe Worsley+4.0
- 21Trevor Woodman-0.3
- 22Iain Balshaw+8.5
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.