Wales v France
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
33 – 37
16 February 2002Principality Stadium, Cardiff
What the model says about Wales v France
- Kick-off
- 14:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 9 m
- Temperature
- 5.3 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 10 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 20 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Wales
- 1Spencer John
- 2Robin McBryde+4.3
- 3Chris Anthony
- 4Craig Quinnell
- 5Andy Moore
- 6Nathan Budgett
- 7Martyn Williams+5.7
- 8Scott Quinnell(c)
- 9Rob Howley
- 10Stephen Jones+0.2
- 11Craig Morgan
- 12Andy Marinos
- 13Tom Shanklin+12.6
- 14Dafydd James-9.4
- 15Kevin Morgan+4.7
Replacements
- 16Duncan Jones+0.8
- 17Barry Williams
- 18Ian Gough-3.3
- 19Rhys Williams
- 20Gavin Thomas
- 21Dwayne Peel-4.5
- 22Iestyn Harris
France
- 1Jean-Jacques Crenca
- 2Raphael Ibanez(c)-4.5
- 3Pieter de Villiers-5.0
- 4Thibault Privat
- 5Olivier Brouzet
- 6Serge Betsen Tchoua+7.0
- 7Imanol Harinordoquy+0.6
- 8Steven Hall
- 9Pierre Mignoni-1.1
- 10Gerald Merceron
- 11Xavier Garbajosa-2.6
- 12Damien Traille+3.1
- 13Tony Marsh
- 14Aurelien Rougerie-0.2
- 15Nicolas Brusque+1.9
Replacements
- 16Fabien Pelous+1.3
- 17Sebastien Bruno
- 18Alexandre Audebert
- 19Olivier Milloud-7.6
- 20Alexandre Albouy
- 21Francois Gelez
- 22Jimmy Marlu
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.