Wales v Scotland
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
22 – 27
6 April 2002Principality Stadium, Cardiff
What the model says about Wales v Scotland
- Kick-off
- 15:45 UTC
- Elevation
- 9 m
- Temperature
- 8.1 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 36 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 14 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Wales
- 1Iestyn Thomas
- 2Barry Williams
- 3Chris Anthony
- 4Ian Gough-3.3
- 5Andy Moore
- 6Nathan Budgett
- 7Martyn Williams+5.7
- 8Colin Charvis(c)-5.3
- 9Rob Howley
- 10Stephen Jones+0.2
- 11Craig Morgan
- 12Andy Marinos
- 13Mark Taylor+1.1
- 14Rhys Williams
- 15Kevin Morgan+4.7
Replacements
- 16Chris Wyatt-10.8
- 17Gavin Thomas
- 18Iestyn Harris
- 19Robin McBryde+4.3
- 20Spencer John
- 21Dwayne Peel-4.5
- 22Dafydd James-9.4
Scotland
- 1Tom Smith
- 2Gordon Bulloch
- 3Mattie Stewart
- 4Scott Murray
- 5Jason White+12.3
- 6Martin Leslie
- 7Budge Pountney
- 8Simon Taylor
- 9Bryan Redpath(c)
- 10Gregor Townsend
- 11Chris Paterson+1.8
- 12John Leslie-1.3
- 13James McLaren
- 14Kenny Logan
- 15Brendan Laney
Replacements
- 16George Graham
- 17Stuart Grimes
- 18Glenn Metcalfe
- 19Jon Petrie
- 20Robbie Russell+3.0
- 21Duncan Hodge
- 22Graeme Beveridge
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.