France v England
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
24 – 21
27 March 2004Stade de France, Saint-Denis
What the model says about France v England
- Kick-off
- 19:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 33 m
- Temperature
- 4.3 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 13 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 33 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
France
- 1Sylvain Marconnet+0.2
- 2William Servat+1.4
- 3Pieter de Villiers-5.0
- 4Fabien Pelous(c)+1.3
- 5Pascal Pape+1.7
- 6Serge Betsen Tchoua+7.0
- 7Olivier Magne+10.5
- 8Imanol Harinordoquy+0.6
- 9Dimitri Yachvili-2.5
- 10Frederic Michalak+2.7
- 11Christophe Dominici-5.2
- 12Damien Traille+3.1
- 13Yannick Jauzion+9.9
- 14Pepito Elhorga
- 15Nicolas Brusque+1.9
Replacements
- 16Yannick Bru
- 17Jean-Jacques Crenca
- 18David Auradou-6.7
- 19Thomas Lievremont-3.7
- 20Pierre Mignoni-1.1
- 21Julien Peyrelongue
- 22Clement Poitrenaud-1.3
England
- 1Trevor Woodman-0.3
- 2Steve Thompson+3.2
- 3Phil Vickery+2.7
- 4Danny Grewcock+4.0
- 5Ben Kay+9.1
- 6Joe Worsley+4.0
- 7Richard Hill
- 8Lawrence Dallaglio(c)+8.7
- 9Matt Dawson
- 10Olly Barkley
- 11Ben Cohen
- 12Mike Tindall+3.5
- 13Will Greenwood
- 14Josh Lewsey
- 15Jason Robinson+5.5
Replacements
- 16Mark Regan+1.8
- 17Julian White-1.4
- 18Steve Borthwick-11.3
- 19Martin Corry-6.2
- 20Andy Gomarsall+2.7
- 21Mike Catt+2.3
- 22James Simpson-Daniel
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Scoring
| France | Measure | England |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tries | 2 |
| 1 | Conversions | 1 |
| 4 | Penalty goals | 3 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.