France v England
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
13 – 24
23 February 2008Stade de France, Saint-Denis
What the model says about France v England
- Kick-off
- 20:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 33 m
- Temperature
- 8.9 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 11 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 35 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
France
- 1Lionel Faure
- 2Dimitri Szarzewski-0.3
- 3Nicolas Mas-1.0
- 4Pascal Pape+1.7
- 5Lionel Nallet(c)-5.4
- 6Julien Bonnaire
- 7Thierry Dusautoir-3.4
- 8Louis Picamoles-2.7
- 9Morgan Parra-0.8
- 10Francois Trinh-Duc+2.0
- 11Vincent Clerc+1.5
- 12Damien Traille+3.1
- 13David Marty+6.7
- 14Aurelien Rougerie-0.2
- 15Cedric Heymans-0.6
Replacements
- 16William Servat+1.4
- 17Jean-Baptiste Poux-4.2
- 18Jerome Thion-2.8
- 19Fulgence Ouedraogo-0.3
- 20Dimitri Yachvili-2.5
- 21David Skrela
- 22Anthony Floch
England
- 1Andrew Sheridan+1.2
- 2Mark Regan+1.8
- 3Phil Vickery(c)+2.7
- 4Simon Shaw-2.6
- 5Steve Borthwick-11.3
- 6James Haskell+0.9
- 7Michael Lipman
- 8Nick Easter+2.6
- 9Richard Wigglesworth-3.5
- 10Jonny Wilkinson+7.0
- 11Lesley Vainikolo
- 12Toby Flood-1.2
- 13Jamie Noon-4.5
- 14Paul Sackey
- 15Iain Balshaw+8.5
Replacements
- 16Lee Mears+2.3
- 17Matt Stevens-0.0
- 18Ben Kay+9.1
- 19Tom Croft-2.9
- 20Paul Hodgson
- 21Danny Cipriani
- 22Mathew Tait+7.9
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Scoring
| France | Measure | England |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tries | 2 |
| 1 | Conversions | 1 |
| 2 | Penalty goals | 3 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.