South Africa v Fiji
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
37 – 20
7 October 2007Orange Velodrome, Marseille · neutral venue
What the model says about South Africa v Fiji
- Kick-off
- 13:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 8 m
- Temperature
- 19.9 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 13 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 20 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
South Africa
- 1Os du Randt+3.9
- 2John Smit(c)+6.0
- 3Jannie du Plessis-1.2
- 4Bakkies Botha+8.0
- 5Victor Matfield-1.4
- 6Schalk Burger+6.0
- 7Juan Smith+0.6
- 8Danie Rossouw+0.7
- 9Fourie du Preez+10.4
- 10Butch James+0.9
- 11Bryan Habana+1.1
- 12Francois Steyn+7.8
- 13Jaque Fourie+6.3
- 14JP Pietersen+0.8
- 15Percy Montgomery+0.2
Replacements
- 16Gary Botha
- 17Gurthro Steenkamp+1.9
- 18Johann Muller+4.2
- 19Wikus van Heerden
- 20Ruan Pienaar+0.0
- 21Andre Pretorius-0.7
- 22Wynand Olivier-9.2
Fiji
- 1Graham Dewes
- 2Sunia Koto
- 3Henry Qiodravu
- 4Kele Leawere
- 5Ifereimi Rawaqa
- 6Semisi Saukawa
- 7Akapusi Qera
- 8Sisa Koyamaibole
- 9Moses Rauluni(c)
- 10Seremaia Bai
- 11Sireli Bobo
- 12Seru Rabeni
- 13Kameli Ratuvou
- 14Vilimoni Delasau
- 15Norman Ligairi
Replacements
- 16Bill Gadolo
- 17Jone Railomo Taginayaviusa
- 18Aca Ratuva
- 19Wame Lewaravu
- 20Jone Daunivucu
- 21Waisea Luveniyali
- 22Gaby Lovobalavu
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| South Africa | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 42.0% | Possession | 58.0% |
| 46.0% | Territory | 54.0% |
Attack
| South Africa | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 394m | Carry metres | 509m |
| 15 | Defenders beaten | 19 |
| 10 | Offloads | 9 |
| 74 | Passes | 109 |
Defence
| South Africa | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 120 | Tackles made | 73 |
| 19 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 14 |
| 9 | Turnovers won | 3 |
Set pieces
| South Africa | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 84.6% | Lineout success | 75.0% |
| 11 | Lineouts won | 12 |
| 14 | Scrums won | 9 |
Breakdown
| South Africa | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 59 | Rucks won | 83 |
| 9 | Mauls won | — |
Discipline
| South Africa | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 5 |
| — | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| 7 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 12 |
Scoring
| South Africa | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tries | 2 |
| 3 | Conversions | 2 |
| 2 | Penalty goals | 2 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.